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Would Pogacar win the Tour de France on a cheaper bike? Mid-range road bike vs superbike speed tested

How much faster is a pros dream bike compared to one in your garage? We've been doing some garage science (on the road) in an attempt to find out

For a pretty price, it's possible to own the very same top-of-the-range road bikes that are being raced by the pros at this year's Tour de France. These top-tier bikes can very often carry a five-figure price tag, but are they really much better than the mid-range offerings? 

2024 midrange bike vs superbike canyon ultimate cfr vs van rysel rcr

> Tour de France bikes on a budget

To find out, we set about testing two competitive options from both categories before diving into the data to see whether Pogacar would still be in yellow if he was to swap in his V4Rs for a mid-range offering...

The competitors

It just so happens that we've recently finished reviewing two bikes that fit the bill very nicely:

> Van Rysel RCR Pro - The story behind 2024's most talked about road bike

Representing our mid-tier option is the Van Rysel RCR Rival AXS. It has carbon Zipp wheels (303s), an electronic Sram groupset (Sram Rival AXS), a power meter and a frame sculpted by the wind. It has been widely lauded for its value for money.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike canyon ultimate cfr

It’s going up against a Canyon Ultimate CFR. It too has carbon Zipp wheels (303 Firecrests), an electronic Sram groupset (The latest Sram Red AXS), a power meter, and has been created using an “exhaustive process of wind tunnel testing”.

Clearly, there is going to be quite a difference in price between these two road bikes... and well, you’d be right. The Van Rysel, in this exact spec, is available to purchase for £4,500. The Canyon, which is the same spec as Movistar and Alpecin Deceuninck are using in the mountains at this year's Tour de France, will set you back a cool £9,749.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike van rysel rcr front end

> Review: Canyon Ultimate CFR

That means that the Ultimate CFR is over twice the price of the RCR... but is it twice the bike? We’re going to try to find out!

2024 midrange bike vs superbike canyon ultimate cfr 2

PS: Before we get started, this article and video is by no means a dig at Canyon, or top-tier bikes in general. Van Rysel also makes a pro-level bike that costs twice as much as the one we’ve used in the test and many of the other bikes at this year’s Tour de France will cost you upwards of £12,000! It just so happened that it was these two bikes that fit the bill for our test. 

'Diminishing gains'

2024 midrange bike vs superbike diminishing gains graph

The other day I drew this rather rudimentary graph, and said that spending more than around £3,000 is about as much use as a handbrake on a canoe. I also said that Pogacar could win the 2024 Tour de France on a four-grand bike, something that might age very badly but for now, I stand by!

But in all seriousness, surely there is a measurable, significant difference between a superbike like the Canyon and a mid-range bike like the Van Rysel? Otherwise, why would anyone ever buy the range-topping models?

2024 midrange bike vs superbike flat test 1

> Sram Red AXS vs Shimano Dura-Ace: which groupset is best?

To get some more concrete data than just listening to the word on the street, we’re going to compare a few things: their speed around a flat circuit at a set wattage, and how fast they can climb in an all-out TT uphill.

The hill climb test

2024 midrange bike vs superbike climbing road.cc kit jamie van rysel rcr

We’ll start off with a climbing test, because usually as you spend more the most noticeable difference is weight saving.

For example, the higher-end Sram Red AXS groupset on our superbike is lighter than the third-tier Rival AXS on the mid-range bike. The wheels are also lighter, and indeed the frame is too.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike sram rival axs groupset

> 10 cycling trends NOT to copy off the Tour de France pros

Before we get started, it's worth pointing out that we selected these bikes because they have components (groupsets and wheels) from the same brand. They're both size medium, and we were also able to use the adjustable cockpit on the Ultimate CFR to match the handlebar width to the RCR.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike canyon ultimate cfr integrated cockpit

As you'd expect, the Ultimate CFR is indeed lighter, right on the UCI weight limit at 6.8kg in fact. The RCR, meanwhile, is not tickling the weight limit at 7.91kg, but it doesn't feel ridiculously heavy either. 

So far then, that extra £5,249 has saved us around 1kg. How much difference does that actually make on a climb?

2024 midrange bike vs superbike canyon ultimate cfr climbing 2 road.cc kit

> Lightweight v aero: which is best?

To find out, we selected a local climb with a gradient similar to that of the Galibier, as that's where we've seen some of the biggest time gaps at this year's Tour de France, and marked the start and finish points.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike hill climb route

Our climb is 1.8km long, but despite being about 13 times shorter than the Galibier we hope that it will still give us a representation of how much faster, if any, our superbike is.

Results

2024 midrange bike vs superbike climb test results

Ok, so test complete and the results are perhaps closer than expected. The first effort I did was on the Van Rysel, and over our 1.8km climb I clocked a time of 4:46. Not exactly peak Pogacar...

Despite probably being a little fatigued, I then hopped on to the Canyon and completed the climb four seconds quicker in a time of 4:42. 

Obviously, to try to balance out the effects of fatigue I then did the test again, this time with the Canyon first. On this run I clocked a time of 4:45, slower than my first effort but five seconds faster than I’d then do on the mid-range bike.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike van rysel rcr climbing 3 road.cc kit

> How much faster is an expensive road bike?

Disclaimer: we realise that just like with any real-world testing, it's impossible to remove all variables. I have since plugged the numbers into Bike Calculator, and it does seem feasible that I would be a few seconds quicker on a bike that is a kilogram lighter.

Flat test

2024 midrange bike vs superbike flat test 2

Most people actually looking to spend their own money on either one of these bikes probably aren’t the type of person who is racing up the Galibier on the daily, so it’s potentially more important to find out which one is faster on the flat.

To do that, we found ourselves a flat traffic-free loop that measured 10km, cleaned the dribble off the bikes from the hill climb efforts and calibrated my power pedals. 

2024 midrange bike vs superbike flat test route

> 6 of the best value bike upgrades

Rather than trying to ride as fast as possible, this test would require riding at a constant 250 watts. We'd also set off from a rolling start so that I didn't spanner up the results trying to clip in or accelerate. 

Results

2024 midrange bike vs superbike flat test results

Alright, results time! Our flat course was a grand total of 10 kilometres long with an elevation gain of just 34 meters. When we say flat we really do mean flat! To be honest it’s really hard to say that we found anything conclusive...

I took the Canyon first this time. I clocked a time of 17 minutes and 50 seconds.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike canyon ultimate cfr flat 4 road.cc kit

The first effort on the RCR I was actually faster with a time of 17 minutes and 40 seconds. However, I then did the test again and was slower on both bikes, clocking times of 18:01 and 18:06 respectively. What can we glean from this then? Well, only that the difference in speed between the two bikes is way less than the margin of error of our test.

To be honest I wasn’t expecting to see any huge differences between the two on this test. Other than perhaps a fancy integrated cockpit, mid-range bikes very often share exactly the same frame shape and geometry as their more expensive counterparts.

2024 midrange bike vs superbike van rysel rcr flat 4 road.cc kit

> Tour de France bikes vs the bikes you can buy in the shops — are they actually the same?

I think we could have happily chosen all manner of manufacturers and not found a meaningful difference, or at least not as big as the one from making your body more aero, or switching to a set of deeper wheels.

Could Pogacar win the Tour de France on a mid-range bike?

Tadej Pogačar wins stage 15 of the 2024 Tour de France (ASO/Charly Lopez)

Using our data and online tools such as Bike Calculator, we've calculated that a bike that is 1kg heavier would mean that Pog crossed the summit of the Galibier about 20 seconds slower, i.e. at an almost identical time to Remco Evenepoel. I think we know what that means: he would have likely still descended fastest and/or won the sprint for the line.

Combine this with the fact that the mid-range bike is not really any slower on the flat, and Pogacar's subsequent efforts proving that he is the man to beat, even with the cumulative fatigue of racing a heavier bike for three weeks I personally believe that he would still be in yellow.

2024 Tadej Pogacar yellow jersey Tdf credit - A.S.O

Of course, don't expect the pros to be switching out their top-end bikes anytime soon. Grand Tours can be won and lost by a matter of seconds, so they'll still be going after every possible advantage, however small!

Let us know how much you think is sensible to spend on a performance road bike in the comments section below as well as whether our results were what you expected…

Jamie has been riding bikes since a tender age but really caught the bug for racing and reviewing whilst studying towards a master's in Mechanical engineering at Swansea University. Having graduated, he decided he really quite liked working with bikes and is now a full-time addition to the road.cc team. When not writing about tech news or working on the Youtube channel, you can still find him racing local crits trying to cling on to his cat 2 licence...and missing every break going...

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54 comments

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Nick T replied to Simon E | 1 month ago
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You may not have noticed the push to supply hookless rims purely because they are much more simple to manufacture, despite multiple reports of blown tyres under road riding pressures. the hook on a carbon clincher is incredibly difficult to produce, the mould is complicated and you have to ensure you have fibres filling the hook somehow. Wheel suppliers don't want to have to make two different systems for double the cost, hence the one they can sell is given to the teams.

The technology is indeed inferior, for pro racing specifically, for the reasons I've stated. It's better for the average joe who doesn't have the luxury of a support car or the ability nor inclination to support themselves on a rainy morning in a layby near Stoke

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Rendel Harris replied to Nick T | 1 month ago
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Nick T wrote:

The technology is indeed inferior, for pro racing specifically, for the reasons I've stated.

And yet, as stated below, records are being shattered left right and centre both on the road and on the track by people using this technology, beating the records of people who used the technology you claim is superior, how do you account for that?

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Nick T replied to Rendel Harris | 1 month ago
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Why do I have to account for that? Why don't you prove to me that records wouldn't be tumbling otherwise? 
 

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Rendel Harris replied to Nick T | 1 month ago
1 like

Nick T wrote:

Why do I have to account for that? Why don't you prove to me that records wouldn't be tumbling otherwise?

Because you have claimed that the pro peleton has switched to inferior, slower technology and therefore logically times should have slowed, and yet they have got faster, so if you can't provide an explanation for that we are left with the obvious conclusion that the technology to which they have switched is in fact faster.

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Rendel Harris replied to Nick T | 1 month ago
2 likes

Nick T wrote:

The public doesn't buy tubulars because of those donwsides though, and manufacturers quite understandably want to sell their products, hence teams are using technology that is inferior as most sponsors have stopped producing new tubular rims.

So, let's imagine Pog, Jonas and Remco had all been within five seconds of each other before the start on Sunday. You genuinely think that even though technology was available to save, say, a minute over their rivals, not one of them would have said right, I'm using tubs and we can black out the maker's name if necessary? Seriously?

I'm afraid your comments show a fundamental misapprehension of the purpose of sponsorship. The manufacturers aren't that interested in persuading us to buy the actual products on show, because very few of us are going to want to, or be able to, shell out £15,000+ for exactly the same bike a GC rider uses. What they want is for their name to be associated with the best quality winning products so we buy their lower-end gear, which is where the profit lies. It doesn't matter to Bora or Specialized or Shimano if a rider is using tubs or tubeless clinchers, or even if they are, as has sometimes been the case, using another brand or bespoke wheels rebadged, what's important is that their name is prominently displayed on the rim. Preferably on the winner's bike, so the suggestion that they would force a rider to use something that gives them less chance of winning is quite clearly nonsense.

If you favour tubs, that's fine, if you believe they make you faster and are more comfortable, great. But when speed records for average speeds over stage races, individual climbs, classics, even the world hour record on the track for goodness' sake*, are being broken time and again by riders using wider tubeless tyres, taking the records from riders who were using tubs, and when scientific testing has conclusively demonstrated that tubs are no longer the fastest option, to keep on insisting that just about everyone else, including all the best riders in the world, is wrong and you are right looks a bit daft.

*When Ganna took the record he used wheels that had been custom built from the ground up to fit his frame by Princeton Carbonworks, so no question of manufacturers trying to foist their favoured product on him. He could have chosen any wheel type he wanted and he and his team spent over a year researching and designing the fastest options; he chose 25mm clinchers and, as we know, smashed the record by over a kilometre (a record that was also set on clinchers by Dan Bigham, which in turn smashed the record of the last man to take the record on tubs, Victor Campanaerts, by 459 metres).

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mdavidford replied to Rendel Harris | 1 month ago
1 like

Rendel Harris wrote:

So, let's imagine Pog, Jonas and Remco had all been within five seconds of each other before the start on Sunday. You genuinely think that even though technology was available to save, say, a minute over their rivals, not one of them would have said right, I'm using tubs and we can black out the maker's name if necessary?

Your general point is probably sound, but I suspect Pog would have said "Whatever, I'll just take 2 minutes out of you all whatever you give me".

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Rendel Harris replied to mdavidford | 1 month ago
3 likes

Fair point, "Hey I feel like a bit of a challenge today, I'll take the Brompton..."

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Secret_squirrel replied to Nick T | 1 month ago
1 like

Nick T wrote:

Tubulars are more comfortable and compliant than clinchers/tubeless as the entire chamber is flexible under load. Having tried riding larger clinchers my rides are measurably faster on narrower tubulars and I prefer the feel 

Can you show any actual science for that?

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Nick T replied to Secret_squirrel | 1 month ago
0 likes

Can you show me science for the opposite? I doubt you can even show me anecdotal evidence

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froze replied to Nick T | 1 month ago
0 likes

The writer makes a very valid point though, and that is for an above-average rider who sees some local racing, a $5,000 bike is all they really need, in fact, dare I say, a $2,500 bike is all they need!

A typical $1,500 bike will usually come with Shimano 105 and standard cheap wheels but they are made to take the abuse of rough roads, and a bike in the price range is great for the average rider.  The next price-to-benefit curve comes at around the $2,500 price, with that bike you'll find Dura Ace, but again you get cheap but durable wheels, but a lighter frame.  The $5,000 price range still gets you the same DA but upgraded wheels and the frame weight is about the same.  What a person could do is get a $2,500 bike, and find a set of lighter wheels for around $1,500, now you have a $4,000 bike that will equal the $5,000 bike!  You have saved yourself $1,000.  But keep in mind, racing wheels are not intended to be used as everyday training wheels, they won't last as long as cheaper wheels over the long haul...at least typically that is true.

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Rendel Harris replied to froze | 1 month ago
2 likes

froze wrote:

The next price-to-benefit curve comes at around the $2,500 price, with that bike you'll find Dura Ace, but again you get cheap but durable wheels, but a lighter frame. 

Are you writing from the year 2000? If not could you please provide a link to these £2000 Dura Ace bikes, I think a lot of people here would be in the market at that price!

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Glov Zaroff | 1 month ago
0 likes

They're not 353 NSWs, they're 303 Firecrest, and cost less than half the price of the 353 (but more than the 303S). 

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Rendel Harris replied to Glov Zaroff | 1 month ago
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Glov Zaroff wrote:

They're not 353 NSWs, they're 303 Firecrest, and cost less than half the price of the 353 (but more than the 303S). 

Correct, which is weird because the Ultimate CFR ASX does come with 353 NSWs and none of the build options offers 303 Firecrests.

ETA Mystery explained, from Stu's review of the bike last Sunday: "The Zipp 303 Firecrests our review bike came with are a claimed 1,408g, so they add some liveliness, with their deep-section rims bringing an aero boost once you are up to speed – and the standard build will ship with 353 NSWs, which are even lighter and a touch deeper." Though why Canyon are sending out review bikes with lower-spec wheels than the ones that will be supplied to customers is unexplained.

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OnYerBike replied to Rendel Harris | 1 month ago
1 like

In the review for the Canyon, it was (eventually) clarified that the bike Road.cc received was not supplied with the standard build. But it would seem to undermine this comparison to some extent. I don't think it would actually change the results noticeably (Jamie's graph seems pretty accurate to me) but if you're going to test a superbike, it probably ought to be the whole package including wheels.

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C3a | 1 month ago
0 likes

I think it would be fun to see whether you could persuade a friendly TdF rider to join you for a little race - where you get an amazeballs bike and they get an entry level or mid range bike.  Then swap and see.

My expectation is that the TdF rider will beat you on either bike because the performance bottle neck will be your physical conditioning versus theirs.

My other expectation is that they will marginally beat themselves on the better bike because they are at a level where they will not be the barrier to peak performance on the entry-level bike - and the better bike will allow them the freedom to demonstrate their potential.

 

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E6toSE3 replied to C3a | 1 month ago
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Many pros ride so much they can tell if something's not right by ½mm. Others are less bothered

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SimoninSpalding | 1 month ago
4 likes

Nice bit of semi-science, thank you.
I think it shows that the top end stuff, be it frames, wheels, groupset, is really about marketing, and mid range everything is good enough for the rest of us.

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Dnnnnnn replied to SimoninSpalding | 1 month ago
0 likes

Agreed. More than good enough in most cases!

I guess quite a lot of road.cc readers do have £4,500 bikes - but I think it would be more fun to add a budget bike into the mix (e.g. the cheapest Boardman, or at least something in the C2W range). Not least as I suspect many people are inspired by the TdF to go out and buy something like that to get into road cycling in the first place.

I reckon the diminishing returns curve flattens out a lot quicker than in the chart above (acknowledging it's about illustrating an idea, rather than being precisely accurate). Those on cheaper rides might be encouraged to discover their entry-level bike is actually 90% as good as the pros'. OTOH, they might be discouraged to realise just how big the gap to the pros in human performance really is - as someone once said, it's not about the bike!

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E6toSE3 replied to Dnnnnnn | 1 month ago
0 likes

In a totally different sport... my wife and I went to ballroom dancing classes about 30 years ago. At the end of year certificate party, a professional couple were guests. Extremely ordinary people you could barely notice, until they stepped onto the dance floor. Then they seemed to enlarge threefold, to glow and radiate a sort of glory, and they floated just above the floor. Holidaying in Menton, saw some pro riders training... wow! Silent lightening flickering up and down Madone and along sea front

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E6toSE3 replied to SimoninSpalding | 1 month ago
0 likes

No. The top level stuff does give the elites an edge, both in reality and psychologically. A few years ago, one of the big name bike suppliers made a dog of a TT bike. But, for us normal people, the benefit of high end is the margins the companies make from hedge fund managers buying high end so they can afford to make higher volume low nargin products for us

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john_smith | 1 month ago
0 likes

I think I'd be more worried about the position than the bike. Is that really how Pogacar rides? This chap looks a fair bit lower and more stretched out, and he's not even on the drops:

https://www.ran.de/sports/radsport/news/olympia-in-paris-bdr-startet-mit...

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mdavidford replied to john_smith | 1 month ago
8 likes

I assume you're talking about this? Yes - that is his typical position on the bike.

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john_smith replied to mdavidford | 1 month ago
0 likes

I was talking about the top picture. It looks a bit like how Hinault sat on his bike before he changed his position. He described it as sitting "like a toad".

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Rendel Harris replied to john_smith | 1 month ago
2 likes

john_smith wrote:

I was talking about the top picture. It looks a bit like how Hinault sat on his bike before he changed his position. He described as sitting "like a toad".

Poorly Photoshopped pictures of someone supposedly riding a bike that he's never been on in his life may not be reflective of actual riding position...

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