Shane Sutton insists Great Britain’s track cyclists are on course to bring home medals at the Rio Olympic Games next year, despite last weekend’s UCI Track World Championships in Paris resulting in the country winning just three medals, none of them gold.
He was speaking after the team came away from this year’s event with silver medals in the men’s and women’s team pursuit – the latter ending a five-year unbeaten run – and in the women’s Omnium, courtesy of Olympic champion Laura Trott.
With a year and a half to go until Rio, not only does it look unlikely that Team GB will repeat its success of Beijing in 2008 and London three years ago, when they took seven of the ten track events, but some are questioning whether the performance in Paris represents the end of an era.
Among those is respected cycling journalist William Fotheringham, who points out in the Guardian that in the world championships at a similar stage before the Beijing and London Olympics, the country won 11 and nine medals, respectively.
He adds that this is the first time Great Britain has missed out on world championship gold since 2001.
But Sutton, who has just completed a year as British Cycling’s technical director, insists that it is too soon to write off Team GB’s chances at Rio and that the true measure of where the team is at will come when London hosts next year’s world championships.
Quoted on the British Cycling website, he said: "The worlds is a big defining moment for us next year. Very little changes after that [before Rio], so you're going to get more of a gauge in 12 months than you will here.
"We didn't come to this worlds thinking we're going to come in and win a shed load of medals. We're doing all in our power [and] we know we can lead these guys into a successful Rio. We know where we are and we know what's needed.”
Team GB’s track cyclists won 14 medals in total at Beijing, and 12 in London, the difference explained by a rule change that meant only one rider per country was allowed in each individual event in 2012.
The dominance in the velodrome has seen UK Sport’s funding for cycling, which contributed nearly one in five medals won in London, increased to more than £30 million ahead of Rio.
At the same time, the body has set Great Britain’s Olympians across all sports the target of becoming the first country ever to increase its medal haul four years after hosting the Games – 66, against 65 won in London.
Without another significant contribution from track cycling, that goal may be out of reach.
However, Sutton put a brave face on the performance in Paris, saying: “That is three Olympic medals. We are at the races here, no doubt about it.”
Earlier this month, he all but ruled Mark Cavendish out of an Olympic place on the track, with the Etixx-Quick Step rider having previously said that qualification rules mean he will be hard-pressed to gain the necessary points while honouring his commitment to his team on the road.
But Sutton said: “If Cav wants to line up in the Omnium, or [Ben] Swift wants to line up in the omnium, or [Ed] Clancy wants to line up in the Omnium, then that is a fourth medal in which we are very competitive.”
The three medals in Paris all came in endurance events, but Sutton believes that the country’s sprinters, transitioning into a post-Sir Chris Hoy and Victoria Pendleton era, can also win medals.
“The fifth one I think we will be very competitive in is the men's team sprint,” he said. “I think given where we got to with Kian Emadi, the ride he did at the Commonwealth Games, and at the worlds last year, he had really developed well as a man three, before he got injured.
“That all of a sudden gives us a real golden opportunity. Five medals in which we are really competitive still.”
He would not be drawn on numbers, however, saying: “I don't want to put a metric on it.
“We'll let everyone else do that. We just want to be the best we can be.
“Normally we take that attitude and we're successful. We have to go away and look at the detail and what it's going to take.”
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11 comments
Not so many years ago, a bronze medal was as rare as hen's teeth. Now, if GB doesn't get multiple golds, it's a disaster...
BC has lots of form going back a very long way on wasting talent with its "My way or the highway" attitude.
Adam Yates found a way round the knockdown system, his talent would not be denied!
Wasn't Dan Martin another who didn't fit the system?
'To summarise Brailsford's brilliance; he looked at the sport, and developed systems and processes that maximised the potential of olympic level athletes.
His team presented a defined pathway for highly talented riders to convert that talent into world class results.'
Peter Keen seems to have been missed out of that little precis...
is this also where we can really appreciate just how good Geraint Thomas is as well (as noted by mtm_01)
First up, its too early to put the nails in the coffin, lots can and will change.
However... the reality is that there has been a general catching up from other nations... look at the qualifying times from the team pursuit... the bar is seriously high across a number of nations.
To summarise Brailsford's brilliance; he looked at the sport, and developed systems and processes that maximised the potential of olympic level athletes.
His team presented a defined pathway for highly talented riders to convert that talent into world class results.
And it worked a treat.
Problem is, other countries have done the same now, developing similar pathways, so inevitably the dominance has to end at some point.
Also, and I'd say related, is that BC apply that pathway from an early stage... so the riders that respond to that pathway are identified and put on that pathway early... actually, more accurately the pathway is presented to the most talented athletes and those that respond to that pathway follow it to its natural conclusion... world class performance.
The challenge is that this methodology (essentially 'my way, or the highway') is terribly wasteful. There are superbly talented athletes that are getting bypassed by the system, which is limiting the riders getting to the upper echelons.
To put that in perspective, on the basis that Wiggins has the perception that he is a bit of a nightmare to manage, if he was a 16 year old now and coming up through the ranks, I am not sure he would have stayed in the system long enough for his ridiculous talent to become apparent.
Agreed. especially about the potential to waste highly talented athletes before they have the chance to get close to their potential.
What about Mark Cavendish who couldn't produce the numbers in training. Only by the system becoming flexible in his case did we get a GB rider with an unprecedented number of professional wins at the top level. A read through "Boy Racer" will show how the efforts of one man, Rod Ellingworth, in particular enabled him to survive the system which could have so easily ended his career before it really kicked off. Read "Project Rainbow" written by that man and you'll learn so much about the system.
Other nations have noted the success of British coaching and seem to have adopted trackside tactics very similar, an indication perhaps of the Brits being victims of their success.
The hole left by Sir Chris seems for now to be having a morale effect, no doubt the search for another top talent is ongoing but it's not too far from time running out.
The difference is that Dave Brailsford is no longer in charge. You can't lose a driving force and a tactical genius of that magnitude ... and then expect to be just as successful. It's not going to happen.
deja vu? If I remember, we had the same headlines 18 months before London 2012. Possibly not as extreme, but I do remember that there was disappointment at the Worlds and that we were told that it was part of the plan. Which is how it worked out.
They do seem to have a wind down period before peaking at the olympics, I guess it's near impossible to keep up that level for 4 years without some sort of break. Plus it's always going to be harder when the likes of Chris Hoy have retired and some of the best Team Pursuiters ever are now on the road.