Another absorbing day in the mountains (read our report on Stage 16 here) brought the end game of the 102nd edition of the Giro d’Italia into sharper focus, with four stages left – one of those, on paper, unlikely to see major action in the overall – before Sunday’s relatively short, 17-kilometre time trial in Verona.
Before the weekend, Roglic was many people’s clear favourite for the overall, with the big question being whether any of his rivals would be able to take sufficient time out of him to maintain an advantage on the final day.
As things stand, the question is whether the Slovenian, his confidence rocked by a mechanical problem followed by a crash on the way into Como on Sunday, and losing more time today, will enter that closing stage with a realistic chance of overhauling riders in front of him.
Nibali, now 22 seconds in front of Roglic, would be a realistic target, assuming the Jumbo-Visma rider does not lose more time.
Carapaz, now 2 minutes 9 seconds up on the Slovenian, would be perhaps 30 or 40 seconds out of reach given their comparative results in both the time trials so far in the race, both of which Roglic won.
The other scenario to consider is how Carapaz will fare with the burden of leading a Grand Tour in its final week, a new experience for the Ecuadorian. His Movistar team have so far played a tactical blinder, though, and he has a superdomestique working for him in the shape of Mikel Landa, fourth overall.
Nibali – twice a Giro champion, and also a winner of the Tour de France and Vuelta – knows how to bide his time, however, as witnessed in the 2016 race when a victory on Stage 19 set him up to take the maglia rosa on the penultimate day.
It could well be that the race will only be settled in that final time trial in Verona – but right now, if we were putting money on it, we’d guess the tussle would be between Nibali and Carapaz, with Roglic having to settle for aiming for a hat-trick of victories against the clock.
Then again, this is the Giro – and as we saw last year, anything is possible in the closing days.
It's possible to build a light bike for less....
. Oh, FGS!!! . Guy can't win! . If he'd said the opposite, you'd a criticised that! .
Define "so many". Scary headlines to the contrary this has zero chance of becoming law.
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" for cleaner air try cycling or use one of the electric scooters below rather than driving into our city " !
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