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Ratings agency downgrades Wahoo, warning company’s finances are “unsustainable”

S&P Global Ratings says smart trainer brand may default on debt in coming months

A leading ratings agency has downgraded Wahoo’s credit rating, warning that it believes that unless the company can raise further funding or restructure its debt, its finances as they currently stand are “unsustainable.”

The warning was sounded by S&P Global Ratings, which had previously downgraded the Atlanta, Georgia-based company’s rating last September, with the latest adjustment reflecting concerns that the company will default on its debt in the coming months due to lack of liquidity.

In its latest assessment of Wahoo Fitness Acquisition, LLP, S&P reduced its rating for the company’s issuer credit rating to CCC- from CCC and its senior secured credit facilities from  CCC+ to CCC, reports SGB Media.

“Wahoo’s capital structure is unsustainable given its negative EBITDA and cash flow,” S&P said. “We assess the company’s liquidity as weak because its liquidity sources are insufficient to cover its cash needs over the next 12 months.”

The company, which besides its Kickr range of smart trainers and bikes also sells products including the Elemnt Bolt range of bike computers and smartwatches, and in 2019 bought pedal brand Speedplay and indoor training platform The Sufferfest – subsequently rebranded Wahoo Systm – was among those that were boosted during 2020 and 2021 as lockdowns around the world saw many cyclists switch indoors for their training.

But S&P warned that “operating conditions will remain pressured over the next few months as [Wahoo] laps the COVID-related demand tailwinds it benefited from last year,” with cashflow turning negative which, combined with higher interest levels on its debt, “will likely lead to a near-term liquidity shortfall.”

The cost-of-living crisis forcing consumers around the world to review their non-essential expenditure is also having an impact, with S&P saying that “Wahoo’s operating performance continues to deteriorate amid the weakening macroeconomic environment as consumer spending shifts toward non-discretionary categories.

“The company’s sales during the third quarter of fiscal year 2022 declined by 56 per cent year over year, and we estimate they fell by an additional 35 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2022,” the ratings agency continued.

“The demand for Wahoo’s products deteriorated because consumers shifted their purchasing behaviour, which led to a sharp drop in its retailers’ inventory replenishment orders.

“The company continues to be affected by high costs related to commodities, freight and warehousing, which it cannot offset with higher prices given the aggressive promotional activity by its competitors,” S&P said, adding that “the promotional activities to manage its elevated inventory levels, including Cyber Week discounts, continue to drag on its profitability.”

The ratings agency, which expects Wahoo’s EBITDA for 2022 to be negative, said it did not expect that the company would be able “to significantly improve its profitability and cash flow amid the weakening macroeconomic environment, reduced consumer discretionary spending, and ongoing shift in consumer spending toward other categories.

“The negative outlook reflects our expectation that the tough operating conditions will persist over the near term, causing the company to face a liquidity shortfall over the next six months absent a liquidity enhancing transaction,” S&P concluded.

Earlier this month, it was reported that Wahoo had cut its workforce by 15 per cent, with the news subsequently confirmed to in a statement that highlighted the challenging conditions it had faced in 2022.

> Cycling industry layoffs: Strava and Wahoo cut 15 per cent of workforce

“Since its founding in 2009, Wahoo Fitness has experienced exponential growth through constant innovation and reinvention – all with the goal of ‘building the better athlete in all of us’,” the company said.

“However, throughout 2022, the sports technology category – like many others, has been adversely affected by the impacts of Covid and the global economic downturn.

“On Thursday 1st December 2022, Wahoo announced a restructuring of its organisation to support the long-term growth of its global business. By making these difficult decisions in such challenging times – Wahoo can ensure it maintains sharp focus on the innovative products and services that have driven it to the market leading position it owns, in almost every category it operates in.

“The needs of our athletes are constantly evolving and our approach to providing solutions needs to do the same,” continued Wahoo, which also highlighted planned developments for 2023, including the launch of “multiple new exciting hardware additions to its acclaimed eco-system, plus … significant software updates for existing hardware products to continue to enhance the consumer’s experience and develop more integration/ functionality for Wahoo X.”

Just yesterday, world cycling’s governing body, the UCI, announced Wahoo as the official smart trainer partner of this year’s UCI Cycling Esports World Championships, to be held on Saturday 18 February, with more than 100 women and 100 men expected to participate, each using Wahoo’s latest Kickr smart trainer, which we reviewed here on last month.

> Wahoo Kickr Smart Trainer v6

Three-time world time trial champion Michael Rogers, now head of road and innovation at the UCI, said: “We are delighted with Wahoo's significant involvement in the 2023 UCI Cycling Esports World Championships.

“The provision of equipment that is identical in all respects for all participants in the event is absolutely fundamental to ensuring that everyone defends their chances in the same conditions and that the best athletes win,” he added.

S&P’s latest downgrade of Wahoo’s credit rating is a further sign of the pressures currently facing the cycling industry, with fitness tracking app firm Strava recently reported to have cut its workforce by 15 per cent, and US-based bike firm Specialized confirming just last week that it was slashing one in eight jobs worldwide.

> Specialized slashes jobs in latest sign of cycle industry downturn  

Meanwhile, in the UK, Halfords said last Thursday that the cycling market was down 20 per cent year on year, with the cost-of-living crisis resulting in a fall in high-ticket, discretionary purchases by consumers – the retailer adding that it saw little prospect of a recovery in such spending in the short term. has asked Wahoo for comment. 

Simon joined as news editor in 2009 and is now the site’s community editor, acting as a link between the team producing the content and our readers. A law and languages graduate, published translator and former retail analyst, he has reported on issues as diverse as cycling-related court cases, anti-doping investigations, the latest developments in the bike industry and the sport’s biggest races. Now back in London full-time after 15 years living in Oxford and Cambridge, he loves cycling along the Thames but misses having his former riding buddy, Elodie the miniature schnauzer, in the basket in front of him.

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WhitsHisFace | 1 year ago
1 like

Bad news bears.  If Wahoo goes to the wall and then anything happens to my brand new Kickr Bike v2 that is pain indecisionindecisionindecision

galibiervelo | 1 year ago

If you are only selling 50% of what you sold in the previous year, any business would be in trouble. Their products are great, so hope they can right size and continue. Chip Hawkins is an amazing innovator.

KDee replied to galibiervelo | 1 year ago
1 like

The design of their products is great, but their QC not so much it seems. Saw an interesting thread on Reddit earlier about this. One poster explaining how he's on his third indoor trainer. Seeing as Wahoo pay the shipping on all those returns, that's a considerable chunk of money. My Elemnt Bolt has been OK, but my first Tickr died after about 8 months. Tickrs in particular seem prone to failures.

Griff500 replied to KDee | 1 year ago

KDee wrote:

The design of their products is great, but their QC not so much it seems. Saw an interesting thread on Reddit earlier about this. One poster explaining how he's on his third indoor trainer. Seeing as Wahoo pay the shipping on all those returns, that's a considerable chunk of money. My Elemnt Bolt has been OK, but my first Tickr died after about 8 months. Tickrs in particular seem prone to failures.

Apart from a couple of anecdotes (a random poster on Reddit) where is your evidence? Reddit also seem to have lots of reports of problems with Tacx for example. It is ludicrous to draw a conclusion based on a sample of 3, or from a site like Reddit where people go to grumble. Maybe I should post that my bolt, tickr, cadence and speed sensors are still perfect after 5 years and 30k+ km of year round use, but no, Reddit isn't that kind of site   Wahoo have been open about several design problems on the kickr, and have even quoted in the press that 3% of units have had problems, with appropriate fixes rolled out. Is this better or worse than their competitors? Maybe for a bit of context take a look at this damning link which opens with "..issues known to Tacx for which there is no known solution".  What evidence do you have that "Tickrs in particular seem prone to problems?"  Having done a quick, unscientific, bit of googling, I can't find any evidence that tickrs are any more or less reliable than other hrms, so happy to see your source.

NotNigel replied to Griff500 | 1 year ago

There was definitely a QC problem with their cheapest chromoly spindle speedplay pedals, had mine replaced twice due to sideways play of the body on the spindle.  After the problem surfaced again on my third pair I managed to blag an upgrade to the stainless spindle ones. No issue with them.  The problem with the chromoly ones were discussed on various forums but no explanation from wahoo.

taberesc replied to Griff500 | 1 year ago

3 of my Tickrs died in quick succession. Wahoo quick to replace at no cost to me but I want something that works so gave up and went back to Garmin.

adamrice replied to KDee | 1 year ago
1 like

I've had 3 Wahoo chest straps all fail in exactly the same way (snap rivet came apart). The company replaced all of them without complaint, but that speaks of a problem.

BadgerBeaver replied to KDee | 1 year ago

That was certainly my experience with v2 of the Kickr. Gave up in the end. Great packagin and marketing, but even that was a bit off, for example the sticker on the flywheel was on the wonk on the last version I got. 

Worringly the woftware udpates for the Bolt were also pretty bad around that time, which I thought was indicative of it all being a bit rinkydink.

The kicker for me (pun intended) was the over-reach for SYSTM. Took a gret product and lost the essence and fun, I thought. Critically, the android version is terrible. 

Look at the reviews on google play, at the threads not only on Reddit but also on TrainerRoad etc. Wahoo products are flakey. Any wobble in the market was going to bring them down. 





jaymack | 1 year ago

Is this the same Standard & Poors that gave credit default swaps a AAA+ ratings?

Hirsute replied to jaymack | 1 year ago

I think lessons have been learnt (except by the present government who think rules and regs are a bad thing)

PRSboy replied to jaymack | 1 year ago

It was not Credit Default Swaps, but Collateralised Loan (or Debt) Obligations. 

jaymack replied to PRSboy | 1 year ago

Doh! Silly me...

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