While Donald Trump may have blinked first in his global trade war, triggering a 90-day pause on his threatened higher tariff rates for most countries amid chaos in the markets, one of the biggest suppliers of bicycles to the United States, Giant, has said that the US president’s attempt at reordering the economic order is “absolutely not positive” for the cycling industry.

The Taiwanese brand, which last month revealed that its profits had been slashed by 62 per cent in 2024 as heavy discounting and inventory challenges hit the company, has also warned that if the high tariffs previously threatened by the Trump administration return, Giant “will inevitably be forced to reflect the cost”.

On Wednesday, the US government announced that the heavy tariffs imposed last week on a range of countries, including most of the big bike manufacturing nations in Asia, such as Taiwan, Cambodia, and Vietnam, will be suspended for 90 days, with a “lowered reciprocal” rate of 10 per cent on all products entering the United States authorised instead.

2024 Giant Team Jayco Alula
2024 Giant Team Jayco Alula (Image Credit: Zac Williams/SWpix.com)

That news will come as a welcome, albeit brief and inconclusive, reprieve for Tiawan-based Giant, one of the biggest bike manufacturers in the world but one which has struggled in the aftermath of the Covid pandemic.

> Giant profits plummet by 60% as inventory woes and heavy discounting bite, but bike brand confident of “recovery” in 2025

Last year, Giant’s post-tax profit plummeted to NT$1.26bn (£29.4m), a drop of 62.8 per cent compared with 2023.

This was led, the brand said, by “reduction in demand” in the US and European markets, as well as the impact of “more aggressive discount” and inventory issues. In fact, Giant stated it had an inventory loss provision of NT$1.9bn (£44.4m) in 2024 which cut its gross margin three per cent on 2023 levels.

However, while the United States’ so-called reciprocal tariffs on most of cycling’s Asian manufacturing hubs return to 10 per cent (for now), at the same time Trump announced that tariffs on goods from China – which supplies 87 per cent of bikes in the US – would be increased to 125 per cent, after Trump accused Beijing of a “lack of respect” for imposing a retaliatory 84 per cent tariff on US imports.

That decision has prompted one major US bike manufacturer to warn, as companies and consumers struggle to ascertain the extent to which the industry will be hit by the current economic turmoil, that the price of bikes in the United States could rise by as much as 50 per cent thanks to the tariffs.

Arnold Kamler, the chair of New Jersey-based Kent International, told the Financial Times on Thursday that his company has already increased their prices by 12 per cent this year, thanks to Trump’s initial 20 per cent tariff on China.

Kent Torpedo
Kent Torpedo (Image Credit: Farrelly Atkinson)

Kalmer said he expects prices to rise by another 25 per cent thanks to last week’s increased tariffs, with another surge set to come as a result of yesterday’s announcement.

According to a 2021 study, 87 per cent of all bikes in the United States comes from China, making it “one of the most import-dependent and China-dependent industries” in the country. Fewer than 500,000 bikes out of 10 million are even assembled in the US, with virtually none manufactured there.

Kent International expects to sell 1.4 million bikes in the US this year, projected to be its worst performance in over a decade, as Kamler admits Trump’s tariffs on China “would render my bikes undesirable and too expensive”.

“Our sales have been steadily dropping because of our prices being so high now,” he said. “There has been no consideration to us despite the hundreds of jobs we have created so far.”

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While Trump maintains that his trade war is partly an attempt to revitalise US manufacturing, Kamler said that despite repatriating some assembly from Asia to the US over a decade ago, prices will still need to rise as they import most of their components from China.

“We’re in quite a quandary now. We’ve established a factory, and we’re paying these very high tariffs, too,” he said.

“If nothing changes, the only thing that’s going to happen is that bicycle prices will be up 30 to 50 per cent.”

> Trump tariffs see UK bike brand offer customers 5% discount to “meet them halfway”, as cycling industry gripped by more uncertainty

Meanwhile, industry lobby group PeopleForBikes’ Matt Moore also warned that higher import costs as a result of the tariffs could force many companies either into insolvency or into mergers with rivals.

“The mood in the industry is fairly grim because we are facing a potentially existential threat,” Moore told the Financial Times.

“Companies with better access to capital and operational advantages will raise prices to cover costs and preserve margins. Companies that cannot do that may succumb to this new trade environment.”

PeopleForBikes says it is currently lobbying for relief on duty for frame and component imports, as well as low-interest loans for manufacturers to build factories in the US.

> “We’re out of business”: Trump tariffs could “flatten the bike industry”, experts say – as Human Powered Solutions founder admits “we’re out of time, all we can do is react”

It joins the National Bicycle Dealers Association, a group representing cycling retailers, which as we reported yesterday is exploring the possibility of lobbying politicians for the first time in decades, with the aim of convincing them to oppose the tariffs or at least explore some alternatives for the industry.

Speaking to Heatmap this week prior to the changes announced yesterday, Jay Townley, a founding partner of the cycling industry consulting firm Human Powered Solutions, said “we’re out of business because nobody can afford to bring in a bicycle product at 100 per cent or more in tariffs”.

“We do not know how to make a bike,” Townley said. “When it comes to manufacturing, all of that knowledge resides in Taiwan, China, Vietnam. It isn’t here.”