The Cycle to Work Alliance has reported signs of “market stabilisation” in the UK’s Cycle to Work sector, with participation holding steady through the final quarter of 2025 despite political scrutiny of the scheme.

According to the Alliance’s latest figures, 35,562 Cycle to Work certificates were issued by its members in the final quarter of 2025, a 1.45% increase on the same period in 2024 and 0.6% up on 2023.

However, in the second half of 2024, the number of certificates issued is reported to be marginally down. Whilst detailed figures have not been released, the Alliance claims that this data may point towards a flattening of the market’s traditional seasonality.

They said that 2025 largely followed the typical seasonal pattern for the scheme, with volumes peaking in warmer months before moderating from September onwards.

The organisation added that the continued seasonality, coupled with modest year-on-year growth, has been interpreted as a sign of resilience rather than decline.

Cyclists in London at traffic lights in cycle lane - copyright Simon MacMichael
Cyclists in London at traffic lights in a cycle lane (Image Credit: Simon MacMichael)

Steve Edgell, the Chair of the Cycle to Work Alliance, said that the latest figures demonstrate that the scheme “continues to perform its role exactly as intended.”

He said: “We see strong uptake through the peak months, followed by a predictable seasonal slowdown, but with participation remaining resilient overall.

“The stability matters, and it shows the Scheme continues to support everyday commuting and remains a trusted benefit for employers and employees alike.”

> What is the Cycle to Work scheme? 

The Alliance represents five of the UK’s largest Cycle to Work providers: Halfords, Evans Cycles, Perkbox, Cycle Scheme, and Cycle Solutions. They account for around 80% of the Cycle to Work market.

More than two million people have taken part in the programme since its launch in 1999. However, the scheme has faced renewed scrutiny in recent months after the Financial Times reported in 2025 that Chancellor Rachel Reeves was considering reintroducing a spending cap.

Cyclists in London male and female in cycle lane - copyright Simon MacMichael
Cyclists in London male and female in cycle lane (Image Credit: Simon MacMichael)

According to the FT, government sources indicated that some ministers believed the removal of the previous £1,000 cap was not the best use of public funds, with one source arguing that “taxpayers shouldn’t be footing the bill for luxury leisure” and that that the scheme should not provide tax relief for “£4,000 e-bikes for weekend rides in the Surrey Hills.”

However, when the Budget was later announced, the proposed cap did not materialise, with the FT reporting that ministers ultimately judged the potential backlash was not “worth the revenue”.

> How Cycle to Work was saved: The battle to stop Labour’s Budget spending cap + The year in cycling reviewed

Previously, speaking on the road.cc podcast, Edgell said that since the cap was lifted in 2019, the scheme has broadened its appeal, enabling uptake among groups less likely to cycle, including women, older riders, and those with hilly commutes, due to access to e-bikes.

He added that “high-end purchases are really the exception rather than the rule, the scheme overwhelmingly serves the ordinary commuter.”

According to Alliance data, 67% of scheme users are basic-rate taxpayers. A commissioned analysis by the organisation also estimates that Cycle to Work contributes £573 million annually to the UK economy, reinforcing its position as both a sustainable transport initiative and an economic driver.