Have London Roads Become More Dangerous

jason.timothy.jones · 2013-12-20T13:26:04+00:00

Im not to sure that a Lecturer in Infectious Diseases is qualified to comment on Cycling Risk, but have a read, maybe we can have some pleasant commentary, =)) Oh BTW this has been hiding behind a paywall so it hasn't really been torn apart by the non academics that have an interest in the subject. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/store/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013.00715.x/asset/sign715.pdf?v=1&t=hpfgvptv&s=e5d1d5c12ce701e0b840a63c2167bfeb8f86cdcf

This topic has 5 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 12 years, 8 months ago by OldRidgeback.

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December 20, 2013 at 1:26 pm #20367

jason.timothy.jones

Im not to sure that a Lecturer in Infectious Diseases is qualified to comment on Cycling Risk, but have a read, maybe we can have some pleasant commentary, =))

Oh BTW this has been hiding behind a paywall so it hasn’t really been torn apart by the non academics that have an interest in the subject.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/store/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013.00715.x/asset/sign715.pdf?v=1&t=hpfgvptv&s=e5d1d5c12ce701e0b840a63c2167bfeb8f86cdcf
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December 22, 2013 at 10:37 am #766227
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OldRidgeback

Yep, seems to make sense to
Yep, seems to make sense to me. Basically, the premise is summed up in the last paragraph. The health benefits way outweigh the risks, which aren’t nearly as great as many assume, but it could be safer than it is.

December 21, 2013 at 12:33 pm #766225
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jstreetley

The article should never have
The article should never have been behind the paywall – it’s open access and was only published on Wednesday. And David Spiegelhalter is Prof of understanding risk so should know what he is talking about!

Seems to make sense to me as the maths showing how exceptional 6 deaths in a fortnight are. More depressing is the calculation of 52 periods where there 3 deaths in a fortnight over 8 years.

December 20, 2013 at 5:58 pm #766223
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jason.timothy.jones

this link should work
this link should work http://ow.ly/rWZqu

December 20, 2013 at 5:56 pm #766221
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jason.timothy.jones

looks like its back behind
looks like its back behind the paywall

December 20, 2013 at 2:50 pm #766219
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OldRidgeback

Still can’t access
Still can’t access it:

Forbidden
You don’t have permission to access //cdn.road.cc/store/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013.00715.x/asset/sign715.pdf on this server.

However I get a lot of crash data across my desk and compared with 10-20 years ago, London’s streets have far fewer deaths and serious injuries from road traffic crashes, whether for motorists, cyclists or pedestrians. Peak road fatality rates in the UK were in the late 1970s and early 1980s and the levels are now about the same as they were in 1950.

This may be of interest also:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-25444916
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