- This topic has 160 replies, 34 voices, and was last updated 13 years, 3 months ago by
stevemarks.
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March 12, 2013 at 9:38 pm #18213
Philip Unwin
Can I just put a dampener on things by saying that the forecast for Lombardy and Liguria on Sunday is heavy rain.
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TERatcliffe26
stevemarks wrote:Just changed
stevemarks wrote:Just changed my whole teams again. Thought I would have a laugh as I can Liquidate the whole team tomorrow night and made my whole purist team Italian đŸ˜‰
It’s harder than you might think, as I have still left out a few I fancied. And no Sagan is not an Italian. May have a whole Belgian team for Flanders and French one for Paris Roubaix.That will be hard to do without taking penalty points, with only 6 transfers in between them đŸ˜‰
(between Flanders and Roubaix just to clarify)
drheaton
Sagan wise it all comes down
Sagan wise it all comes down to whether you think he can still prevail with pretty much the entire peloton racing against him.He can certainly climb so he won’t get distanced like Cav last year but can he really chase down every break to make sure he’s in the right one? And if he gets in the right break who’s going to want to work with him?
He’s rightly the favourite and definitely the man to beat but I still see it as being a tough ask. That said he’s in my teams not just because he’s favourite but because even if he’s not in a small winning break he’ll likely win the subsequent bunch sprint for minor placings like last year.
Simon_MacMichael
I am sooooo undecided over
I am sooooo undecided over whether or not to pick Sagan.Having read some rider interviews today, I’m going to make a couple of swaps, but do I want to spend that many points on the guy who is (justfiably) favourite, at the expense of losing 3 or 4 who can definitely podium if it works out for them…?
Decisions, decisions…
đŸ˜•
stevemarks
Just changed my whole teams
Just changed my whole teams again. Thought I would have a laugh as I can Liquidate the whole team tomorrow night and made my whole purist team Italian đŸ˜‰
It’s harder than you might think, as I have still left out a few I fancied. And no Sagan is not an Italian. May have a whole Belgian team for Flanders and French one for Paris Roubaix.JAndrewHill
Despite what Cav
has just
Despite what Cav
has just tweeted
about tomorrow,
I have just
transferred out Pete
Sagan and brought
in Nibali,
and some other
good allrounders.
The nearest thing
to a sprinter
in my squad is
Geraint Thomas
but he may not
ride too well if
the welsh get stuffed
by England in
the 6 nations.oops, sorry, this is not very poetic…#freeverse
Alan Tullett
Philip Unwin wrote:Love to
Philip Unwin wrote:Love to Alan But ‘er indoors family over from Milan and Sardinia. Set a date for Paris-Roubaix though. Unless my lottery numbers come up, if they do I will be there. :)It depends on the weather as her game is normally on a Sunday. We’ll see what happens nearer the time đŸ™‚
Philip Unwin
Love to Alan But ‘er indoors
Love to Alan But ‘er indoors family over from Milan and Sardinia. Set a date for Paris-Roubaix though. Unless my lottery numbers come up, if they do I will be there. đŸ™‚Alan Tullett
Philip Unwin wrote:There is
Philip Unwin wrote:There is also a possibility of them hitting snow near Alessandria and heavy rain through Pavia. This race is gonna be fun if your sitting on your sofa just watching. :evil:Luckily my daughter’s football game has been cancelled so I’m going to be able to watch it! Do you wanna come round for some beers!
Alan Tullett
drheaton wrote:Urgh,
I hatedrheaton wrote:Urgh,I hate bad poetry.
I’ve revised my teams, my standard is built around Sagan with other potential breakaway companions. For that I’m hoping for a small-medium break on the Poggio that includes Sagan and stays away to the finish.
For my purist team I have no Sagan and have gone more towards a bunch sprint spreading out my credits to give myself more options.
My worry on both counts is that a non-Sagan break goes away and no teams want to work to bring it back just so Sagan or a sprinter like Cavendish wins. If that’s the case then I have absolutely no idea who might win.
Following a very similar strategy. Pretty safe for the standard and a good mix of medium priced guys from a variety of teams for my purist. Two riders in common to both teams, both around 10 credits.
Philip Unwin
There is also a possibility
There is also a possibility of them hitting snow near Alessandria and heavy rain through Pavia. This race is gonna be fun if your sitting on your sofa just watching. đŸ‘¿Philip Unwin
Snow also predicted for Milan
Snow also predicted for Milan in the morning. Not much but the start will probably hover around zero đŸ‘¿
Stumps
Just checked the weather
Just checked the weather forecast for tomorrow. It does not look good with rain all day, light at first but becoming heavier with a wind chill temp at 6c and they reckon at least 14 mill of rain.Looks like its going to be a breakaway that wins it and not a full sprint.
obutterwick
Oh, that was my 300th post.
Oh, that was my 300th post.
obutterwick
Songezo Jim. Now that’s a
Songezo Jim. Now that’s a name.drheaton
Yeah, I figured I’d anchor my
Yeah, I figured I’d anchor my standard team to the most likely scenario, a Sagan/Cancellara/Nibali breakaway + a few others, then look at what else might happen, namely a strong bunch sprint with riders like Hushovd involved.If scenario B happens and Sagan wins it at least I’ll have 4 or 5 in the top 20, if scenario A happens I could have 4 or 5 in the top 10.
The problem though is that Sagan is such a favourite that I don’t see many teams helping to bring back a break and Cannondale will have to be very tactically astute to make sure Sagan actually gets into a position to win it. Just look at Cav last year, in the wrong place on the first real climb and finds himself completely out of contention. All it takes is for Sagan to get caught out once and he’s gone.
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