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How you imagine the cycling in the future?

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  • February 5, 2017 at 2:10 pm #26747
    trohos

    Your thoughts about the future of bikes, components, races and all other things which involved with our passion (road or mtb).

    We live in a changing world. So, many things will change from what we know (financially,social and technologically).

    My opinion is, that financially at this point cycling will be more pricey, we’ll face difficulties to obtain some goods and perhaps a stagnation in industry. Social, the people will even more riding on their lives. Technological, metals  will “strikes back”, especialy with the growing of  the 3d printing and the use of new alloys . We will have wireless auto or “just think” shifting and more low weight aerodynamic frames with sensors for power,cadence, speed. Sorry for my

    P.S. 

     Sorry for me English  : P

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  • February 8, 2017 at 12:44 pm #886401
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    FatAndFurious

    More technology leading to

    More technology leading to you not being able to actually ride your bike if you didn’t charge them up / download the latest updates / agree to the latest T&Cs / hand over your usage data / prevent them getting a bit damp.

    I’ll stay stuck in the mud where a mechanical means “mechanical” and not “electrical” or “bug”.

     

     

     

    February 7, 2017 at 10:22 pm #886399
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    P3t3

    RMurphy195 wrote:

    RMurphy195 wrote:

    Pessimistic, dystopian view or realistic?

    Societies and empires rise and fall but the long term trend is that goods and technology have got more accessible and cheaper. A great big war or the fall of our current western civilisation is unlikely to change that.

    However bikes have only been around for the blink of an eye in terms of our technological history. Long term they may be superseded by something even more ubiquitous.

    February 7, 2017 at 10:11 pm #886397
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    RMurphy195

    In gradual decline as bikes

    In gradual decline as bikes/components wear out,until like everything else it becomes the domain of the rich until they disappear.

    Why?

    The clue is in todays news reports re Robots replacing 30% of jobs by 2030 (or was it leaving only 30% of current employment by then?)

    How?

    No work = no income = no expenditure. Decline in the need ultimatley for robot workers, drivers etc. because no-one will buy the gods they make and so there will be no need for transport. No pensions (no-one working thus no-one contributing to pension schemes), gradual collapse of income for pensioners. No health service – no Government income thus no funding. No governement income means no state benefits!

    Overall a real vicious circle which will affect everyone – no jobs = no earnings = no spending = no products bought = no need for production

    Pessimistic, dystopian view or realistic?

    February 6, 2017 at 6:14 pm #886395
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    jimbo2112

    New ultra ride capability of

    New ultra ride capability of 300+ miles a day on ebikes with KERS style hub braking to put power back in the battery. Ultra light bikes with hybrid battery power (sub 8kg all in), decent riders saving the electric power on hills and covering massive distances. Big increase in volume of much older riders (70-90 yrs) using the same bike tech for rides covering 50 miles or more.   

    I’ve been banging on about graphene for many years and this is going to happen/already happening to a small extent (one frame maker and Vittoria tyres. Will be the norm in high end carbon composites from 2020 onwards. Full auto groupsets linked to training software to tailor routines and link them to planned/suggested routes for FTP, interval, endurance, target heart rates and power output. Graphene to also be integrated into bike clothing to create waterproof, smart lycra, able to feedback info on specifc areas of the body to improve posture and training technique. Very high end to begin with then filtered to the masses 

    Bike safety to benefit from built in sensors. Self driving cars will know there’s a bike around the corner when in lanes etc. Brake lights built into accessories becoming more popular.

    I’d love to see: Huge increase in funding on bike lanes and SUSTRAN routes all across the UK, including JOGLE/LEJOG. All new roads and refurbs to include mandatory bike lanes. Bike lane shadowing A40 from east England to Wales and something similar up through the heart of England to the north. Segregated bike lanes throughout all cities and combustion engine bans in all cities.

    UCI weight limits to relax to 5kg. Onboard cams to feature in all major live races. All racers to carry live or dumb cameras for parity. Discs the norm by 2019, possibly with safety cowls.

     

     

     

     

     

     

    February 6, 2017 at 4:17 pm #886393
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    ktache

    I foresee that mountain

    I foresee that mountain biking will readopt the 26 inch wheel standard and wonder why they ever really went larger.  They will never go back to rim brakes though so it will still be increasingly difficult for me to get good ones.

    February 6, 2017 at 3:47 pm #886391
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    brooksby
    unconstituted wrote:
    I’m in the opposite camp to Brooksby, I love the new tech. Once I’ve used something for a while I want to see what else is around, just for the sake of trying new things and will early adopt, occassionally. I’d be waiting for the firmware update if SRAM, say, were going to release one for auto gear changes.

     

    I’ve finally worked out how to fiddle with all the stuff I’ve got  – I don’t want to have to start learning new skills just to fiddle with my bike!  yes

     

    February 6, 2017 at 1:45 pm #886389
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    tritecommentbot

    @ trohos

    @ trohos

     

    Yes to all of that.

     

    UCI ‘illegal’ bikes hitting mass market is next. Once one company does it, then the rest will jump on the bandwagon. People will no longer think sub-7, they’ll be thinking sub-6.  Graphene everything in time, but mega pricey at the moment to produce it.

     

    Wireless is here, auto is here, and wireless auto is probably set up on a some proof of concept BioShift bike. 

     

    Implementation of auto gears should be super easy as it’s just software. I would like a bike with full auto mode and turn it on when completely and utterly wrecked or going for huge distance rides, like 200 miles + when you really can’t afford to overexert. If people don’t like it, doesn’t matter, it won’t weigh anything. It’s just code on an electronic groupo. Either way, it’s also a fun toy you can use to compare auto and non-auto times. Keeps things interesting.

     

    I’m in the opposite camp to Brooksby, I love the new tech. Once I’ve used something for a while I want to see what else is around, just for the sake of trying new things and will early adopt, occassionally. I’d be waiting for the firmware update if SRAM, say, were going to release one for auto gear changes. 

     

    Off the rack power meters. You’ll see mid-range bikes and up with them come 2022. That soon, I think. 

    700g aero frames. Still waiting to see those. Few years away probably.

     

    E-bikes getting sexy. See Cipollini. 

     

    Lots of Strava controversy to come as e-bikes, well disguised ones, hit mass market.

     

    February 6, 2017 at 1:26 pm #886387
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    brooksby

    I’m more than happy with a

    I’m more than happy with a basic metal frame – steel or aluminium – and manual gear shifters and old fashioned “rubber on the rims” v-brakes, thanks very much.  If I wanted all the high technology gubbins then I’d probably drive a car (or a landspeeder…).

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