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162 comments
Might be a few look a like teams tomorrow....Pffft....Anybody going with somebody left field?
Just 2 transfers today, De Gendt & Bevin in, Lopez & Latour out.
Gambled today.
Quintana, Lopez, Madrazo and Aru
Relaced with
TDG, Bevin, Craddock and Oliviera.
With Pogacar, Valverde, Roglic and keeping Latour. It seems to have worked out.
Just one change for today, Quintana out, Higuita in. Not convinced it is a good choice, Jesus Herrada may prove better. I would have picked Teuns but his GC position
might limit his chances.
I did go for Teuns, straight swap for De Gendt. I think De Gendt is tired after his season. I've got Henao and Madrazo who might still fancy the break in the next couple of days. I'll get Lopez back in for stage 13.
Yeah that's a fair point. I should have gone Aranburu, looks like he's trying again.
Dropping Craddick wasn't my best move.
Two changes today. Bevin & De Gendt out, Lopez & Bizkarra in.
You'll have caught me up a wee bit with Aranburu. I should have had him in this whole time!
I can’t find Carl Fredrik Hagen LTS in the list of riders. At 6th in GC, he is a possible sleeper in the contest. Is this a temporary glitch or has he retired?
Only one change for today Higuita out , Quintana in.
Hoping for a GC day, with Bizkarra & Madrazo collecting KoM points from the break.
A quick question...
For stage 16 it looks like you've awarded points at the finish line for both the finish itself and also the summit of the ESP climb (which is also the finish point).
So, for example, Fuglsang gets 35 points for the win and also 20 points for the ESP summit. And he gets 1 point for his 5th place in the KOM jersey.
Was that deliberate?
Yes, you are correct, there shouldn't be a score for the summit finish; a senior moment on my part.
I'll fix it. I was idly thinking the scores were a bit high; derrrh.
Stage 16 scores updated to remove finish KOM.
Andy has messaged that he is on hols (again!!), so scores will probably be late (after sunrise in Oz) unless someone else chips in.
I missed all the warnings about wind yesterday, and messed up going sprinter heavy and wasting transfers.
Gone slightly radical today.
ROGLIC
GILBERT
ARANBURU
VALVERDE
BOUCHARD
GEOGHEGAN HART
POGACAR
MADRAZO
Hadn't realised he had been. Nothing was picked up immediately after the race by the commentators...not that I saw anyway.
Any news on Uran and his injury today?....he may be the one I risk going without if he's hurting...
Aru & Chaves are the big unknowns, I avoided them.
I fancied Formolo for the next few days but in stage2 it looked like he is in Spain to look after Majka.
The break as ever will be a lottery. De Gendt will probably try today but I think tomorrow suits him better.
It is Jose Herrada not Jesus, so I think it is unlikely any of these wins unless the group gives them a 10 minute start on the final climb, even then I'm not sure.
Burgos team manager thinks they need 5 minutes at the bottom of the fianl climb.
Nope....I did however spend a while thinking I had the wrong Higuita.
The final climb isn't as hard, tomorrow's is. So it'll be another breakaway win today, and probably a larger one than it was yesterday. A few KOM points on offer, but nothing to trouble Madrazo who'll want to rest after yesterday. I can see a few people who might fancy it, but is it worth it in the grand scheme of things? If I make any changes it'll only be a couple, but it probably isn't worth it.
Several others aren't looking great either, Higuita and Formolo to name a couple. Such a shame, Roche was going for a decent GC position, Uran looked in good form, and I was looking forward to what Carthy was capable of.
It was a big battle to get in the break, it only got away after the 2nd climb. Poels picked up the KoM points on both those hills.
11 man break then got away and Astana kept it quite close all day but gave a bit more leeway on the penultimate climb. TJVG was in the break but crashed out on a descent but recovered to finish the stage but came in last by the look of things.
Biggest news is probably a big crash in the bunch, Uran and Carthy both out & gone to hospital to be checked over, De La Parte retired and Roche retired. Formolo hurt but carried on and struggled, Higuita hurt too but not as badly and continued OK.
If he keeps it today he'll have it until Sunday. Still, he only has a minute over Lopez and on this kind of climb that can be easy to overcome if he's having a bad day. Teuns could survive though, but I fancy Lopez to be back in red tonight.
Oooooh....keep going Andy....fingers crossed for you.
No idea how tomorrow pans out. Could be anything from a sprint to a GC run in. The only sprinters I would think that could make it might be Bennett, Mezgec and Boassen Hagen...but the racers like Aranburu and Sanchez might fancy it...or Valverde drag a race out of the GC boys.
How many transfers have you got left?...a smart move might be to use transfers on a more certain stage...the one tomorrow is about as uncertain as it gets in this tour.
I have Aranburu from yesterday. If I had picked anyone else I would have gone Stybar & EBH.
I think DeGendt is saving his energy for the ITT. A great chance for him to win a world tour ITT.
Edet could end up in red if Astana let him, he is climbing well and should be able to finish in the front group from the break.
The climb could see a small group of 5 or 6 break clear.
My one choice was Majka or Pogacar, went with the latter. Also keeping one eye on the KOM to see who wants it.
Did you copy my notes? Haha
Put Lopez back in for GC and Young rider points and I would be doing it for 13 anyway.
Left Bevin and Latour in and added Herrada and Aranburu. That is my four potential breakaways.
Dropped De Gendt and didn't go Teuns as I don't think he will be allowed room to go again.
Aranburu is near his home town. Looks like I have him & Madrazo in the break. I Should have dropped De Gendt & gone Lopez + Herrada. Tomorrow I'm not convinced the break wins, it looks an easier stage to control & a good stage for lots of riders.
Lopez and Brambilla in for me with the same out. Doesn't see like either of our extra picks are going to do anything. After that it's Henao v Aranburu.
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