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Back To The Future - cycling predictions for the year 2045

Today's the day Marty McFly travelled to from 1985 - so what do you think cycling will look like three decades from now?...

A futurologist claims that 30 years from now, cycle lanes in London “will pull bikes along using linear induction motors and simple metal plates fitted to the bike."

The prediction, reported in the Evening Standard, comes on the very day that the character Marty McFly was sent forward to from the year 1985 in the movie Back to the Future II.

 

It was made Dr Ian Pearson in a report for construction firm Hewden. He says: “While we’re not all flying around in cars, there are things such as the use of drones, video conferencing and some of the physical structures that were portrayed very accurately in Back To The Future II.

“For London, going into space will be a regular occurrence in 2045,” he forecasts, adding that some of the city’s skyscrapers could stretch 18 miles into the sky by then.

That got us all thinking in the road.cc office – how might cycling have changed in 30 years’ time?

Here’s some of our predictions – some light-hearted, others less so.

  • Strava implants. Giving you retina display of segments, leaderboards etc etc … and a small electric shock if you are toppled from a KOM.
  • It will be too dangerous to cycle outdoors and loads of places will be flooded due to climate change, so cyclists will be using VR to cycle with friends around the world from the safety of their homes.
  • Cyclists won’t be allowed on the roads, only on bike paths, and will be forced to wear hi viz, helmets and shoulder and kneepads and have a microchip inserted into their neck.
  • Gene manipulation will have replaced doping.
  • London cycle commuters will be hot-wiring the induction plates on their bikes – leading to endless comment pieces in the Daily Mail & Telegraph, which merged in 2035.
  • Tyre widths and wheel sizes will automatically adjust depending on the prevailing conditions. so you could start out on 700x23 and finish on 27.5 x 38.
  • Rapha's collaboration with Lidl will receive a five-star review on road.cc, but the range will be shunned by a confused public.
  • Mark Cavendish will spend the year 2045 training with the Great Britain curling team as he continues to seek that elusive Olympic gold medal at the following year's Winter Games, to be held in Qatar's brand new indoor alpine sports complex.
  • Bikes will still be around and will still look pretty much like the bikes of today. The bicycle is just a perfect invention – efficient, practical, non-polluting. How do you improve on that?
  • But drones will carry pumps, sandwiches and spare inner tubes for you when you're on a long ride.

The pace of change in technology in the widest sense makes trying to guess what will happen 30 years in the future a difficult game, of course – just 10 years ago, for example, it was impossible to imagine the impact the likes of YouTube, Facebook and the smartphone would have on the world.

And in a cycling context, who’d have seen things like Strava coming, or city-wide cycle hire schemes, or in sporting terms Great Britain dominating the track events at the Olympics and producing the winners of three of the last five editions of the Tour de France?

But going back to 1985, there was one technology in cycling that was clearly going to have a huge impact – carbon fibre. It’s hard to envisage a similarly transformative innovation that will hit the mainstream in the years ahead.

What are your predictions for cycling in 2045? Let us know in the comments.

Simon joined road.cc as news editor in 2009 and is now the site’s community editor, acting as a link between the team producing the content and our readers. A law and languages graduate, published translator and former retail analyst, he has reported on issues as diverse as cycling-related court cases, anti-doping investigations, the latest developments in the bike industry and the sport’s biggest races. Now back in London full-time after 15 years living in Oxford and Cambridge, he loves cycling along the Thames but misses having his former riding buddy, Elodie the miniature schnauzer, in the basket in front of him.

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14 comments

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Skylark | 8 years ago
0 likes

Probably the same, if not easier.

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teaboy | 8 years ago
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The helmet debate will still rumble on, and everyone will still be both bored and annoyed by it.

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fixit | 8 years ago
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oh, I will tell you what decades from now cycling would look like... there will be 100 people able to buy proper bicycles and the rest million of us will only be able to dream of them. if we will remember them...

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iUpham | 8 years ago
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  • Standard bearings will be replaced by some sort of magnet to allow the moving parts to "float" with zero friction
  • All bikes will come with built in GPS/POWER/SPEED sensors as standard
  • Some bikes will have SIM Card slots for the built-in 3G/4G connectivity OR by then all humans will have built in mobile phone implants to look after this feature
  • Graphene will be the new material of choice for bike frames
  • Brompton will over take Giant in global bike sales
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allanj | 8 years ago
0 likes

Predicting the future for bikes?  Easy:

lighter

stiffer

more comfortable 

more aero

 

that's how it goes each year!

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Leviathan | 8 years ago
1 like

I will finally pay for Strava Premium membership so I can see all my over 70 KOMs

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schwinnhund | 8 years ago
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In 2045 Bikes will be used more for transportation, due to oil shortages. Recumbent bikes will become more popular, and more reasonably priced. There will be many different types of HPVs (Human-Powered-Vehicles) avaialble. 

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levermonkey | 8 years ago
3 likes

There will be no future cycling, the 'Nanny State' will have outlawed it along with walking due to the clear risk of injury and death inherent in these and other physical activities. Cycling will be an underground activity carried out by rogue elements. People caught cycling will be sent for Re-education.

Due to the endemic obesity in the population no-one will live past the age of 25 and natural procreation will cease. By 2145 humanity will become extinct.

You have been warned!

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bendertherobot | 8 years ago
0 likes

Yeah, right. Like there would be any need to 700/23c in 2045...........

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bikebot | 8 years ago
2 likes

The modal share of cycling  will be greater than the private motor car in our major cities.

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3mkru73 | 8 years ago
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Love the Rapha / Lidl prediction, and subsequent public confusion...

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Dnnnnnn | 8 years ago
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Would be interesting to know what - in 1985 - might have been predicted for cycling in 2015...

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TheHungryGhost replied to Dnnnnnn | 8 years ago
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Duncann wrote:

Would be interesting to know what - in 1985 - might have been predicted for cycling in 2015...

The Sinclair C5

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StantheVoice replied to Dnnnnnn | 8 years ago
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Duncann wrote:

Would be interesting to know what - in 1985 - might have been predicted for cycling in 2015...

 

But you'd have to go back in time......oh...I see....

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