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So the day of rest is over, Stage 10 is almost here!
Things are starting to get interesting!!

How does everyone see this playing out?

75 comments

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stumps [3184 posts] 2 years ago
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Hurt, hurt and more hurt with the gc probably blown apart.

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Tom Amos [236 posts] 2 years ago
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One thing is certain. Its's going to be a very interesting day.

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backflipbedlem [1190 posts] 2 years ago
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So thinking of bringing in Pellizotti & Pozzovivo, mainly because i'm feeling a bit P crazy today, probably some other reasons too...

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drheaton [3318 posts] 2 years ago
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Always hard to tell with Pozzovivo, I never know if he's in form or not.

I'm considering dropping Evans for either Scarponi or Henao but I just can't decide, Evans looks good so I might give him one go on a mountain stage but Scarponi also looks good and will need to start making up time on Nibali straight away if he wants to win the race. Henao could go either way, if Wiggins is good he'll likely not score heavily, if Wiggins is weak or if Sky are working to a different plan then he could win the stage.

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backflipbedlem [1190 posts] 2 years ago
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what do you think about Rubiano? Brought him in for stage 9, didnt really deliver, does this stage suit his climbing ability?
what about Aru? i've had him in my team for a while, done ok, but he'll be working for Nibali now, so might not get a good result himself, or am i wrong?
Basically trying to work out who to drop

Visconti
Rubiano
Nibali
Intxausti
Aru
Pirazzi
Di Luca
Santambrogio
Battaglin

want to bring in Pellizotti & Pozzovivo. Thinking of dropping Intxausti, to give me some funds.

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TERatcliffe26 [4464 posts] 2 years ago
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ive given Cadel a go for today, think he should be ok until next weekend, then he shall be axed for Pozz and Niemiec I think

Evans
Nibali
Wiggins
Santambrogio
Di Luca
Pelizotti
Pirzzi
Battaglin
Gavazzi

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chrisdstripes [1704 posts] 2 years ago
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My team is totally predictable so I have no qualms about revealing it early, team for last 2 stages was picked with today in mind so I could bank some transfers ready for Thursday. There will I'm sure be a couple of high-scoring breakaway riders but I don't think today is the day to be gambling on someone. Plus I've been doing really badly since Liege, so my confidence in picking the right guys has taken a knock!

Wiggins
Nibali
Santambrogio
Pellizotti
Di Luca
Betancur (in for Visconti...)
Gesink
Pirazzi
Wauters

Also, lost Jeannesson from my purists - anyone know what happened to him? I know he came off on Friday, but got back to finish top 10, and rode the TT, before DNF-ing on Sunday.

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drheaton [3318 posts] 2 years ago
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Interesting to see you keep Wiggins, you think he'll try something today/tomorrow?

I was semi-tempted to upgrade one of my riders to Wiggins on the off chance that Sky have a plan but I reckon if they're going to try and break Nibali/Astana they'll wait until next weekend.

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TERatcliffe26 [4464 posts] 2 years ago
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I hope he does try something, at least try to take the finish bonuses, (more likely tomorrow) but it was more that I didn't want to take to many risks today, I think they feel each other out today, so no real GC changes, and wanted to see how everyone goes on the first real mountain, rather than waste transfers and have to change it back, especially with 2 flattish days coming before the weekend mountains.

Would like to think my first 4 riders will top 10, my next 2 top 20, Pirazzi get some more mountain points and/or be there at the finish, and my last 2 staying due to cheap price and flattish stages to come

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dave atkinson [6142 posts] 2 years ago
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drheaton wrote:

Interesting to see you keep Wiggins, you think he'll try something today/tomorrow?

today and tomorrow are the only sunny days all week  3

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drheaton [3318 posts] 2 years ago
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I'd certainly like Wiggins to have a go. Not sure what tactic Sky will use, will they roll out the mountain train and try and break everyone else or will they do a 1-2-3 punch with Henao and Uran and try and just get someone up the road to make Nibali sweat?

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livestrongnick [2118 posts] 2 years ago
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I've made 3 transfers

Wiggins
Evans
Pirazzi
Battaglin
Majka
Santambrogio

Scarponi (for Visconti)
Chalapud (for Sella)
Gavazzi (for Aru)

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drheaton [3318 posts] 2 years ago
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My team for today is:

Evans
Nibali
Santambrogio
Pozzovivo (for Rubiano)
Pellizotti (for Visconti)
Pirazzi
Atapuma (for Gavazzi)
Di Luca
Battaglin

First three for GC, Pozzo & Pelli for the stage win, Pirazzi and Atapuma for the break and Di Luca/Battaglin because they're cheap and it wasn't worth swapping them for anyone else.

I've got one transfer left but I reckon I'll need to change something tomorrow, possibly drop Evans or Pozzo/Pelli if they win the stage because they'd be dead the next day.

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STEVESPRO 79 [531 posts] 2 years ago
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NIBALI
SANCHEZ
SANTAMBROGIO
NIEMIC
BETANCUR
POZZOVIVO
KELDERMAN
SELLA
PANTANO

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chrisdstripes [1704 posts] 2 years ago
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Keeping Wiggins just to avoid using a transfer really - been too trigger-happy on the transfers recently so trying to be a bit more conservative. The chances of Evans/Scarponi outscoring Wiggo are probably better than 50/50, but not high enough to make it worth using up a transfer that I could keep for the sprint stage - ie if I'd had Evans in yesterday and not Wiggins, I probably wouldn't have changed it either.
And actually, its easy to think Brad's not in form, but we haven't seen him in the proper mountains yet, and that's where he's been putting the work in.

Dave's weather forecast helped make my mind up  3

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arsene [205 posts] 2 years ago
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Kiserlovski could surprise today. He looked super strong on the wet hillier stages.  39 3

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johnny2names [198 posts] 2 years ago
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Michele Scarponi (LAM)( for cadel)
Stefano Pirazzi (BVI)
Vicenzo Nibali (AST)
Carlos Alberto Betancur (ALM)
Domenico Pozzovivo (ALM) ( for visconti)
Mauro Santambrogio (VIN)
Danilo Di Luca (VIN)
Franco Pellizotti (AND) ( for battaglin)
Przemyslaw Niemiec (LAM)

Gambled a bit there, removing evans for scarponi may well backfire, he's been looking so strong. also if visconti goes on the break/mountain jersey, that will be costly- but i get 2 extra good italian options for today, got to have a go I'm so far behind!

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Wig_Billy [577 posts] 2 years ago
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Evans
Nibali
Santambrogio
Betancur
Rabottini (get in the break please Matteo)
Pirazzi
Chalapud
Gavazzi
Dehaes

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arsene [205 posts] 2 years ago
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I have no standard team as I'm all purist but if I had one I'd choose
Nibali, Hesjedal, Scarponi, Kiserlovski , Santambrogio and Pellizotti (plus maybe Atapuma, Chalapud and Di Luca)
for today.

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drheaton [3318 posts] 2 years ago
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Break of 13 away:

Quote:

Daniele Bennati (Team Saxo-Tinkoff)
Kenny Dehaes (Lotto Belisol)
Elia Viviani (Cannondale Pro Cycling)
Tiago Machado (RadioShack Leopard)
Yaroslav Popovych (RadioShack Leopard)
David Millar & Thomas Dekker (Garmin-Sharp)
Maarten Tjallingii (Blanco Pro Cycling Team)
Jackson Rodriguez (Androni Giocattoli)
Serge Pauwels (Omega Pharma-Quick Step)
Oscar Gatto (Vini Fantini-Selle Italia)
Pim Ligthart (Vacansoleil-DCM Pro Cycling Team)
Pavel Brutt (Katusha)

Looks like a few sprinters in there for no particular reason although I suspect Viviani wants some sprint points (he seems to be targetting the points jersey).

I assume from the fact that there are two Garmin riders in there that Hesjedal is going to try and go on a flyer because Dekker/Millar are not the riders you put in a break today if you're targetting the stage win.

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JAndrewHill [1206 posts] 2 years ago
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OK, I have axed SKY riders...ie Wiggo.
Can't see SKY winnng it today...its too soon...they'll make sure they don't lose time to other contenders and follow Nibali in...I hope.

Cadel Evans (BMC)
Stefano Pirazzi (BVI)
Enrico Battaglin (BVI)
Robert Gesink (BLA)
Vicenzo Nibali (AST)
Mauro Santambrogio (VIN)
Rafal Majka (SAX)
Carlos Alberto Betancur (ALM)
Danilo Di Luca (VIN)

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chrisdstripes [1704 posts] 2 years ago
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Didn't pick anyone for the break, so glad to see none of the more popular guys (Rubiano, Rabottini etc) have made it in there. I suspect they will be waiting until later in the tour - today should be very much a GC day.

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NeilG83 [283 posts] 2 years ago
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Millar & Dekker in the break. Maybe Hesjedal will try and bridge across later.

I transferred Dekker out last night, so I hope he doesn't score any points today.

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stumps [3184 posts] 2 years ago
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Got rid of Dekker from my standard but still got him in my purist so hopefully will score some for my purist.

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drheaton [3318 posts] 2 years ago
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Break only has 5:23 at the minute, the peloton isn't letting this one go away too far which is odd as I thought Astana would want to try and lose the jersey today and lighten Nibali's load. Instead they seem intent on keeping this on a short leash and wearing themselves out.

Wish I'd put Wiggins back in now, got an awful feeling that Astana have bitten off more than they can chew today (cue Nibali winning the stage by a minute).

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chrisdstripes [1704 posts] 2 years ago
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Looks like Pellizotti has designs on the stage today, he's just attacked with his teammate Rosa, and his other teammate Rodriguez is out front. Hesjedal seems miles behind already...

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backflipbedlem [1190 posts] 2 years ago
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would love Pellizotti to win!

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drheaton [3318 posts] 2 years ago
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I thought Astana were being a bit rash driving the pace and it's backfired big time, they've been blown apart as soon as Sky hit the front and are really being shown up.

Wiggins to take big time out of Niabli today?

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Alan Tullett [1566 posts] 2 years ago
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Here comes Nibali!

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chrisdstripes [1704 posts] 2 years ago
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Pellizotti has caught Viviani and Dekker on the descent which should help him on the flat section. Can't help thinking he'll be swallowed up once the GC battle begins on the final climb tho...

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