Giro stage 3

by stumps   May 5, 2013  

I thought i would get in first with stage 3.

I've sat and looked at the profile for stage 3 for ages now trying to work out if it'll all come together on the downhill 20km to the finish or if, after the cat 2 climb earlier, there will be a breakaway still away as they crest the final 3rd cat climb.

Will Sky defend the pink or let a lesser light steal the show whilst they are watching their main rivals.

God i hate this comp Crying

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I reckon Sky will let it go if the right break goes, I don't think they'll want to work too hard tomorrow as it gets much tougher very quickly. The thing is, in the last 50km it won't be up to them, if some of the sprinters teams miss out on the break they may try and bring it back irrespective of what Sky do.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
5th May 2013 - 17:49

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Oh, and for what its worth I don't see it being a finish that suits Cavendish, Viviani or other similar sprinters, I reckon small bunch sprint.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
5th May 2013 - 17:54

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drheaton wrote:
Oh, and for what its worth I don't see it being a finish that suits Cavendish, Viviani or other similar sprinters, I reckon small bunch sprint.

Thats what i was thinking, someone who can put their foot down but can also climb a bit, like Kelderman or Howard.

Decisions decisions Thinking

If you must break the law, do it to seize power: in all other cases observe it. Gaius Julius Caesar.

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posted by stumps [2714 posts]
5th May 2013 - 18:19

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Howard possibly if he can get there, it depends how selective the front group ends up, someone like Ventoso maybe or Phinney might be that little bit stronger and more likely to end up fighting for the win. Maybe Navardauskas?

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
5th May 2013 - 18:26

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can anyone beat my inconsistency?

stage 1: 1st
stage 2: 3948th

heading back up tomorrow

Smile

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posted by Dave Atkinson [7324 posts]
5th May 2013 - 18:39

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i can't see the true sprinters getting over that last hill in contention, but you never know. maybe OPQS clocked off at the TTT today to give cav the best shot of a win tomorrow? i'll be cross if they did cause i subbed him out Smile

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posted by Dave Atkinson [7324 posts]
5th May 2013 - 18:55

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6000 posts Mr A Applause

If you must break the law, do it to seize power: in all other cases observe it. Gaius Julius Caesar.

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posted by stumps [2714 posts]
5th May 2013 - 18:57

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Stage 1: 152
Stage 2: 3548

Overall 3451

But my purist team went up 1209 places today Nerd

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posted by Gkam84 [8825 posts]
5th May 2013 - 18:59

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Dave Atkinson wrote:
i can't see the true sprinters getting over that last hill in contention, but you never know. maybe OPQS clocked off at the TTT today to give cav the best shot of a win tomorrow? i'll be cross if they did cause i subbed him out Smile

That was exactly my thinking watching it today hence I kept cav and another sprinter who's team seemed to do the same ....but I also think the last climb could be an opportunity for the likes of Nibali to attack and try to get some time into sir Wiggo on the descent Thinking

posted by chiv30 [861 posts]
5th May 2013 - 19:07

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i've gone for his nibs, because i think the descent will suit him and it'd be a statement of intent. probably come to nothing though Smile

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posted by Dave Atkinson [7324 posts]
5th May 2013 - 19:08

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I think its too Soon For Any of the Gc Guys To Make A Move. So Its Going To Be An Orica Or Saxo or euskatel or katusha Winner Imho

J Andrew Hill

Its a marathon, not a snickers

...

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posted by JAndrewHill [1225 posts]
5th May 2013 - 19:22

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Tuesdays stage might see a pop by one of them with the descent from the cat 3 measuring 10k then straight onto the climb for the cat 2 just before the end ?

If you must break the law, do it to seize power: in all other cases observe it. Gaius Julius Caesar.

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posted by stumps [2714 posts]
5th May 2013 - 19:30

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Its going to be a difficult stage and while I don't think we'll see a GC guy win I think they'll all be top 30 or 40 with a couple finishing top 20.

Might be too early for Nibs but with 20 seconds on offer for the winner I wouldn't put it past him. Stage 4 will be harder though so they might take it easy.

Basically, I've got no idea.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
5th May 2013 - 19:31

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Dave Atkinson wrote:
i've gone for his nibs, because i think the descent will suit him and it'd be a statement of intent. probably come to nothing though Smile

I'm thinking the same. Tempted by Hesjedal also for similar reasons; he's not to be discounted.

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posted by Ghedebrav [1091 posts]
5th May 2013 - 19:33

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Made my changes and i haven't picked any of the top GC guys.

Kept a few credits back for stage 4 when i may bring in a GC guy then or keep it in reserve for the sprint on stage 5.

If you must break the law, do it to seize power: in all other cases observe it. Gaius Julius Caesar.

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posted by stumps [2714 posts]
5th May 2013 - 19:40

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I looked at the form from a race Earlier In the Season With A Similar Finish, bur Gerrans And Velits Are not Riding The Giro. Hmmmmmmm

J Andrew Hill

Its a marathon, not a snickers

...

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posted by JAndrewHill [1225 posts]
5th May 2013 - 20:01

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