Well I am refusing to pick Brad or Cadel,as they will mark each other and not go for the win. . . i've gambled for 2 possible breakaways, and a couple of GCs who might push for he win. . .
Cadel Evans could have a go at trying to claw back some time from Wiggins tomorrow, apparently it's not the kind of constant gradient Wiggins likes so there could be a chance for Evans.
I've loaded my team for breakaways, got three climbing stars and Sagan and a load of breakaways DSs plus Boeckmans who I can't get rid of
Well I think TJ might do ok . . . it's not too long . . . but steep . . . tempted by Cobo but its too short a climb. . . tempted by Kruijswijk but he's not in top 20 . . . Nibali will bide his time waitinf for a downhill finish...PG is possible . . . but i hope i strike lucky with a breakaway.
I'm not so sure, I think Sky will try to keep the pace high, but I wouldn't be surprised if Evans attacks, in which case Brad might have to follow. I wanted Brad for the TT anyway so thought I may as well bring him in early for fairly sure GC points if nothing else. The risks have come elsewhere... Got extremely lucky today with 1,2,3,4 so am up into the top 50 and trying to balance risky break guys with a couple of reliable picks. (And only have 8 for the next day or two as decided not to replace Astarloza - could've brought in Izagirre or someone but I wanted to get rid of all my star sprinters instead).
may as well tell you my team as ive already done my transfers
i've gone a bit more radical as i need to try and get mega pts. So it's . . .
Tejay van Garderen (BMC)
Peter Sagan (LIQ)
Denis Menchov (KAT)
David Moncoutie (COF)
Kris Boeckmans (VCD)
Gorka Izagirre (EUS)
Sylvester Szmyd (LIQ)
Jonathan Cantwell (SAX)
Michael Morkov (SAX)
Evans may or may not have a pop at this one but i'll need him for monday's TT, TVG should do okay on that too. hoping roche has a go, westra too. the others are leftovers from the flat stuff, maybe lancaster or boeckmans will hang on for intermediate points. sagan certainly will
Hmmm, seems I've gone down a completely different route to most, not sure if that's a good thing or not...
Made a mess of my transfers over the flat stages so only had 3 for this stage.
Switched to the following;
Tejay van Garderen
Will get rid of Sagan for the tt and one of my ds / veelers.
This is my team which I was quite confident about until 30km from the end of today's stage.
I'll probably make a couple of transfers before tomorrow.
Thought about keeping Sagan in for intermediate sprints but I'm going to need those credits...
Izagirre was in because he's cheap and I have a soft spot for Euskaltel, but he's something like 4th in the young rider competition and might move up over the next couple of days... then Velits, Rui Costa, Morkov out for some TT specialists. Probably.
sagan (for green jersey and sprint points)
rui costa (cheap and promises much)
other than kiverlovski, my DS's are what I am left with after the sprints.
well i think my points today were stolen by webfusion......
Another disappointing stage for me, but I was expecting it. I'm a bit more confident about my next attempt though. (Cue lots of crashes tomorrow).
Absolutely shelled out the back today.Paid the price for sorting out my DS' before the stars this weekend.
48pts,2490th on the stage,dropped from 3rd to 13th overall TDF and 1st to 7th premium TDF
I feel like the 'Chavanel' of the Fantasy world.
Big guns to come in for stage 8 replacing Greipel/Sagan and,at least fiddling around with DS' saved me from my plan of bringing Hesjedal in.
I'll kick myself though if Hoogerland,Moncoutie,Roux or Casar get in a break.
well your scored more than me and i did sort my stars!! think i got unlucky with bringing in JVDB though as i think he would have been higher up had it not been for the mechanical.
My team now looks like this
My stars to come in are Wiggins and Taaramae,although to be fair the original plan was Hesjedal and if I'd switched my stars yesterday it would probably have been Wiggins and Chavanel.
So Wiggins and Chavanel(43pts) for Sagan/Greipel(21pts) would have been a net gain of 22.
My actual transfers of Pinot and Westra(8pts)for Cooke and Impey(6pts) was a net gain of 2.
That's 20 pts I need to make up but I've got a good feeling about today with Morkov/Westra/Pinot for breaks and Wiggo,Taaramae,Rogers and Tejay for GC/finish pts.
2 DS transfers tomorrow to bring in a couple of TT'ers for Cantwell and Boeckmans(the likes of Lancaster/Grivko etc).