Purist Tour De France

by drheaton   June 22, 2012  

I figured I'd start a separate thread for all the purist players out there because we've got some different decisions to make from the standard 'who'll win the prologue'.

My feeling is that most teams will have at least one, but probably two, of Wiggins, Evans and Sagan. These seem like bankers when it comes to consistent points. Likewise Westra will probably be popular but what are your plans for the rest of your slots? Are you tempted to bring more TT guys into your purist team than usual as there's three TTs or will you stick to the usual climber heavy team? Will 7 flat stages tempt you to pick some sprinters and who'll be the big breakaway guys this year?

Cards on the table, I'm tempted to pick one of Hoogerland and Moncoutie who I think will both go after the KoM jersey, there's plenty of points on offer even on the flatter stages this year so fingers crossed one'll try and go for them. I probably won't pick people specifically for the TTs but might pick a sprinter (other than Sagan), someone like Van Hummel. Likewise I might try for some breakaway DSs given the array of KoM points on offer but I never usually get the right guys. At the minute my team looks like:

Wiggins
Sagan
Valverde
Brajkovic
Engoulvent
Charteau
Geslin
Kashechkin
Jeandesboz

but that'll change a fair bit over the next week.

What are your plans and how do you see the race going?

30 user comments

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I have no clue, most likely going purist because i'll not have daily access to make changes, so at the moment my team looks like this

Bradley Wiggins (SKY)
Peter Sagan (LIQ) OR Fabian Cancellara (RSN)
Luis Leon Sanchez (RAB)
Bauke Mollema (RAB) OR Tony Martin (OPQ)
Remy Di Gregorio (COF)
Giovanni Bernaudeau (EUC)
Steve Chainel (FDJ)
Gorka Izagirre (EUS)
Mikel Astarloza (EUS)

Can't decide whether to scrap the whole race and just aim for a stage Thinking

Gkam84's picture

posted by Gkam84 [8825 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 13:58

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In thinking about it, I decided to go after all three (Wiggins, Evans and Sagan), because beyond that so much is a shot in the dark. I feel like this is a two man race this year and Sagan is a virtual lock for a couple stages, if not more. Beyond that, I needed a cheap star and decided on Rogers, since Sky will certainly win a few stages and he has shown good form recently (I have no illusions that he'll score much, but like I said I need a cheap star).

As for DS's I'm basically left scraping the bottom of the barrel. My original plan was to go with Gallopin and four extra cheap guys, but with RadioShack's luck I've settled on Westra, Lancaster and a few extra cheap guys. I dunno if this is the right play at all, but I guess that's the fun of it.

For now...

Evans
Wiggins
Sagan
Rogers
Westra
Lancaster
Simon
Vandenbergh
Chainel

posted by frankiejay2 [4 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 14:20

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That's what so fun about the Purist game, so much is unpredictable! Big Grin

Simon's a good call, Lancaster is interesting. He's a lead-out guy who may get some points from Goss/Albasini winning but not sure if he'll get points himself. You can get decent odds on Izagirre doing well in the young rider comp so he could come good.

I was trying to decide if I wanted to pick a Gallopin/Albasini type rider but with Goss in the team I doubt Albasini will do much and surely Gallopin will be working for Schleck rather than going for glory himself?

Anyone thinking about Sammy Sanchez? With so many downhill finishes on the high mountain stages I'm tempted to have a punt but it seems risky and Evans/Wiggins aren't too bad at descending.

I think it's going to be a close run thing the Purist league, so many of those that'll get high points will be fairly obvious so it's the faffing around the edges that'll be the little difference between the top few teams.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 14:26

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See, I think Gallopin will be sprinting, but who knows... I also tend to think Lancaster is a decent TT option to go along with the stage wins. Izagirre and Di Gregorio are on the short list, as well. I don't know about Albasini. It sounds like Green Edge is working for Goss and then trying to get Gerrans a stage win along the way; don't know that there will be room for Albasini.

I was a little tempted to change up the team and go for somebody like Hoogerland or Chavanel on the chance that they do the breakaway thing a la Hoogerland last year, but that's such a dicey proposition for somebody who costs ~25 points.

I think Sammy Sanchez is a good pick. If I would guess he might finish top 5 and win a stage, which would certainly justify a position. By the way, my prediction for the top 10 this year are:

1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. Hesjedal
4. S Sanchez
5. Gesink
6. T Martin
7. Nibali
8. Leipheimer
9. van den Broeck
10. Horner

I'm going to take Frank Schleck at his word that they are not riding for him, and plus he is not exactly a TT guy. Thoughts?

posted by frankiejay2 [4 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 15:40

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Wouldn't be surprised if it's similar to that and I've squeezed Gesink into my team along side Wiggins, Sagan and Hoogerland now (changed my team heavily over lunch).

Schleck could do very well fantasy wise if he wins a couple of stages and picks up some KoM points but I don't know if he'll get on the podium. I'd still expect him to be top 5 though.

I doubt Martin will be that high, yes there's lots of TTing but for me that will just make the mountains even more brutal, especially if Sky drive the pace like they did in the CdD. I think the climbers will have to make up more time in fewer stages this year so it'll be attacking from the off and big time gaps. I think Martin will struggle fairly early and sit up just riding for the TTs and to keep himself fresh for the Olympics.

I admit Hoogerland's a risk but I guess he's no more or less of a risk that someone like Valverde who could do very well or could be decidedly average.

EDIT: Also, no Hesjedal? And what about Menchov, Froome or Brajkovic?

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 15:54

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I had Hesjedal at #3... lukewarm on Menchov and Brajkovic, Froome hasn't exactly shown much this year. But there are certainly a lot of guys who could finish 5-10. I'd throw Scarponi, Rolland, Danielson, Taaramae, and Voeckler in there.

I think there are really three tiers this year.

Tier 1: Evans and Wiggins
Tier 2: Hesjedal, S Sanchez, Schleck and Gesink
Tier 3: Everybody else we both mentioned.

posted by frankiejay [159 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 16:25

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Ah yes, should learn to read...

Agree that its Wiggins/Evans then a small group behind them then the rest.

What I'd say on Froome is that he didn't show anything before taking 2nd in the Vuelta, a race he could arguably have won if he hadn't been working for Wiggins. If the the last few races are anything to go by I wouldn't be surprised to see maybe 4 Sky riders in the top 20 and depending on how the race plays out maybe 2 or 3 in the top 10.

If anything Wiggins is lucky that Evans is riding because it gives him another 'grind-it-out' climber who's team will help chase down the mountain goats like Schleck and Sanchez.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 17:00

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Ive set up another account for a purist team, My team goes like this...

Wiggins
Sagan
Hoogerland
LL Sanchez

Simon
Gallopin
Westra
Izagirre
Kascheskin

posted by TERatcliffe26 [3901 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 17:47

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My two constants are going to be in my team whatever happens. Reading Frankie's top ten, i doubt a couple of them

1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. Hesjedal
4. S Sanchez - Cant see him doing much
5. Gesink - Not sure he'll be Rabo's main guy
6. T Martin - Can keep with the big guys in the large mountains
7. Nibali - Only if Liquigas change their tactics
8. Leipheimer
9. van den Broeck
10. Horner - Too old and will be playing a supporting role

Gkam84's picture

posted by Gkam84 [8825 posts]
22nd June 2012 - 18:31

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Wiggins is a must.He could be top 3 from start till finish with a hidden bonus picking up +5 for every Cav/EBH win!

Rolland could go well especially if TiVo's fitness is off and Europcar get behind him.Besides the additional white jersey points make him more appetising than his team-mate.

Moncoutie is my idea of a KOM contender although Hoogerland's making all the right noises and will get a heroes reception all through LeBoucle.

Robbie Hunter's a cheap,reliable,consistent sprinter who TT's ok,inevitably gets to Paris and may also pick up points if Farrar/Danielson/Martin etc pick up stage wins.

Perhaps Txurruka or Roux as DS for breaks?
Cooke as DS for sprints?
Szmyd as DS for KOM points(plus he'll get points for sagan wins)?
Zabriskie or Grabsch as DS for TT's?
Albasini as an all round good guy DS with form from the TDS?

Perhaps:
Wiggins
Moncoutie
Rolland
Hunter
Cooke
Szmyd
Zabriskie
Txurruka
Albasini

posted by ray silvester [1808 posts]
23rd June 2012 - 10:04

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Purist is painful. I keep looking at my team and thinking, "Oh but I can't leave him out. He'll probably have a huge tour."

In no particular order here are all the guys I'm considering.

GC guys:
Wiggins (probably a must)
Evans (certainly likely a top 2)
Froome (maybe a little too costly for a guy I don't think can win)
Gesink (I am super high on him... but not sure I can fit him on the team)
Hesjedal (I really have no idea)
Leipheimer (so cheap... it's so tempting)
Horner (again so cheap)
Rogers (fill in cheap guy who will score points in a couple different ways)

Sprint guys:
Sagan (again, how can you leave him out?)
Goss (not going to be able to afford him, but seems like a solid pick)
Hutarovich (probably not going to spend 23 on a second sprinter, but still)
Haedo (cheap sprinters are nice)
Hunter (ditto)

Mountains guys:
D Martin (lots of talk of him going for the polka dot)
Taaramae (bonus young rider points too)
Hoogerland (you know he's going to go for a million breaks, right?)
Rui Costa (probably not, but he did just win a warm-up for the TDF, has to count for something)

DS guys:
Gallopin (probably not worth it, but should place in several sprints)
Pinot (young rider, GC potential, but he could easily be the guy who just finishes in 20th place all the time... dunno)
Westra (maybe a required guy this year)
Zabriskie (probably not worth it for 7.9, but should score well in TTs)
Iglinsky (GC potential)
Szmyd (depends on what Liquigas end up doing)
Txurruka (potential mountain goat)
Bouet (likely obligatory ALM guy in the breakaway)
Hanson (likely obligatory Lotto guy in the breakaway)
Cooke (sprint points?)
Di Gregorio (likely obligatory Confidis guy in the breakaway)
E Martinez (another Euski mountain goat)
Lancaster (TT points?)
B Feillu (Saur mt goat)
Simon (good potential to score for a 4 point guy)
Cantwell (ultra cheap sprint points?)
Izagirre (see every other Euski guy)
Vandenbergh (best of the ultra cheap, methinks)

So... my team will most likely be some combination of those guys... now if only I can figure out who...

posted by frankiejay [159 posts]
26th June 2012 - 14:48

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frankiejay wrote:
Purist is painful. I keep looking at my team and thinking, "Oh but I can't leave him out. He'll probably have a huge tour."

In no particular order here are all the guys I'm considering.

GC guys:
Wiggins (probably a must)
Evans (certainly likely a top 2)
Froome (maybe a little too costly for a guy I don't think can win)
Gesink (I am super high on him... but not sure I can fit him on the team)
Hesjedal (I really have no idea)
Leipheimer (so cheap... it's so tempting)
Horner (again so cheap)
Rogers (fill in cheap guy who will score points in a couple different ways)

Sprint guys:
Sagan (again, how can you leave him out?)
Goss (not going to be able to afford him, but seems like a solid pick)
Hutarovich (probably not going to spend 23 on a second sprinter, but still)
Haedo (cheap sprinters are nice)
Hunter (ditto)

Mountains guys:
D Martin (lots of talk of him going for the polka dot)
Taaramae (bonus young rider points too)
Hoogerland (you know he's going to go for a million breaks, right?)
Rui Costa (probably not, but he did just win a warm-up for the TDF, has to count for something)

DS guys:
Gallopin (probably not worth it, but should place in several sprints)
Pinot (young rider, GC potential, but he could easily be the guy who just finishes in 20th place all the time... dunno)
Westra (maybe a required guy this year)
Zabriskie (probably not worth it for 7.9, but should score well in TTs)
Iglinsky (GC potential)
Szmyd (depends on what Liquigas end up doing)
Txurruka (potential mountain goat)
Bouet (likely obligatory ALM guy in the breakaway)
Hanson (likely obligatory Lotto guy in the breakaway)
Cooke (sprint points?)
Di Gregorio (likely obligatory Confidis guy in the breakaway)
E Martinez (another Euski mountain goat)
Lancaster (TT points?)
B Feillu (Saur mt goat)
Simon (good potential to score for a 4 point guy)
Cantwell (ultra cheap sprint points?)
Izagirre (see every other Euski guy)
Vandenbergh (best of the ultra cheap, methinks)

So... my team will most likely be some combination of those guys... now if only I can figure out who...

That's one hell of a list!

My only additions might be Andrea Kloden (who can climb and TT and I reckon may go well this year and is also cheapish), Mollema and Kruijswick who may go well if Gesink doesn't. Likewise Rojas may also go well if he wants the Green this year. Valverde may also feature heavily or may be a complete bust. Even if he suffers in the GC he should pick up at least a stage win or decent placing.

There's a few interesting names in there and most of my picks are on the list. I agree on Froome, could be great, but expensive for someone who we expect will just work as a DS and ride himself into the ground for Wiggins. Likewise with Rogers/Porte. Two of Evans/Wiggins/Sagan seem to be must haves but picking which two and then filling in a team around them will be pretty tough. Usually I'd say Evans and Wiggins for lots of GC/Mountain finish points but Sagan is so good at being there or there abouts on the kind of stages you wouldn't expect someone like Cav to feature that I think he's a shoe in for a few stage wins and the Green jersey.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
26th June 2012 - 15:53

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@frankiejay:
nice list, though i got 4 riders in my current line-up that u dont include.
i think u should look at the different stages and make a plan which types of riders u need 2 do well there. sometimes riders with special talents are needed. also i consider the plans of each team and possible goals of the riders.
Nibali is a rider who is likely 2 score high on a lot of different stages, so imo Wiggins or Evans are probably no must-haves. Same for Gesink, very versatile rider and Van den Broeck is hard 2 beat in the mountains.
Renshaw might do well in the sprints, hes 1 of the fastest guys in the world.
anyway, good luck,
hope we'll see on top of the table Big Grin Cool

posted by arsene [217 posts]
26th June 2012 - 22:08

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I think JVDB will podium and may end up in a normal team as the race progresses however his price for a purist team is too high

The big miss off your list is LL Sanchez in my opinion, also when you consider his price. Also potentially Gerrans at his price.

Another if people want a risk could be Kessiakoff at his price. Ive gone Hoogerland, but Kessiakoff should TT well and could also finish high up with GC guys

Also looking at price surely Kascheskin is worth a mention as a DS

posted by TERatcliffe26 [3901 posts]
26th June 2012 - 23:41

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I don't really rate LL Sanchez, he might be up there for the first week but I think he'll revert to type and just go for breaks, that means what points he gets will be unpredictable.

Nibali is an odd one, he's only a great descender because he puts loads of effort into it, yes there are a lot of of downhill finishes and with Wiggins/Evans being slower uphill he should keep up but I can't see him featuring as well as someone like Sammy Sanchez who is better both uphill and down.

JVdB could go well but I agree, he's expensive, Gerrans is a good call for two or three stages and some of the white jersey contenders might be worth having, people like Poels and Kruijswick.

If you're suggesting Gerrans what about Chavanel or Gilbert?

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
27th June 2012 - 6:34

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I was looking at more of a price to potential ratio, which would count gilbert out for me.

I would put chavanel in the LL Sanchez boat then, can be unpredictable as to who is gonna turn up and what he will do. It depends how you may use your stars though, planning for 3 weeks Sanchez may have more potential to score over picking a sprinter of a similar value

Again I think Kruijswick is quite expensive in relation to his results and what other cheaper riders have achieved. From a purists view it would be someone like leiphimer over him every day. He may be worth a gamble in a non purist team later in the race. Poels would be the better risk in my opinion, however a bit unpredictable as to when he shows up also

posted by TERatcliffe26 [3901 posts]
27th June 2012 - 8:31

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Agreed, all three Rabo GC contenders (Gesink, Mollema and Kruijswick in particular) are more expensive than their results have warranted. Kruijswick though has the benefit of falling into the young rider category and potentially getting 5 extra points a stage if he can keep up with the big guns, particularly as Rolland is now not a young rider and Kruijswicks only real competition for the jersey will be from Taaramae, Van Garderen and maybe Poels.

For me the benefit of Chavanel (current French TT champ) is that if he manages top 5 or 10 in the prologue (which is more likely than Sanchez getting top 10 imo) is that he can keep up throughout the first week as well as being able to have a go at stages 1 and 3. Once the first week is done I agree that Chavanel and Sanchez will probably be fairly even in their potential but I think fantasy wise Chavanel may get the jump in the first week. Also, +5 points every time Martin wins a TT Big Grin

EDIT: Also, been looking at the 18-22 price range and unless Sanchez has a blinder I see Brajkovic, Velits and maybe even Horner being more consistent scorers.

From memory I only really see Sanchez as a stage winner, not a real contender, and if he wins two stages he'll be lucky so maybe he'll get a maximum of 80-100 points

In the Giro people like Cunego and Casar (who I see as similar kind of performers, single stage winners or breakaway guys) managed 71 and 88 points, Tiralongo who managed to keep up with the GC guys most of the way before falling away at the end, similar to how I see Horner and the like doing, managed 201.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
27th June 2012 - 8:59

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Fair enough, I guess you could make a case for many of them. The difference for me with LL Sanchez compared to Casar/Cunego is that I can see a few stages in the first week where LL Sanchez can finish highly, as well as him goin on a break away and potenially winning at some point. But also with him, any expected sprint type stages that get broken up or is massively reduced then he may sprint in them. as you can see from my original purist team above i had chosen LL Sanchez, however I may have decided for different tactic altogether based on my own advice I was giving.

posted by TERatcliffe26 [3901 posts]
27th June 2012 - 11:34

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I wasn't saying Sanchez was a bad pick, he was on my list and it's probably a toss between a rider like him or Chavanel and someone like Horner. The benefit of Sanchez over a lowly GC contender is that he's pretty much guaranteed to get some points whereas if Brajkovic/Horner has a bad tour they can get pretty much nothing.

Picking my team is tough, my original tactic was to load up on TTing GC contenders (ie Wiggins), cast iron points in Sagan and some possible GC points in Gesink and Brajkovic then make up the DS spots with whoever I could afford but I'm seriously tempted to spread the risk picking Leipheimer, Horner, Gesink and Hesjedal and pick some decent DS riders, it's maybe less risky but could pay off if each of my stars has a good tour.

Hmm...

How does

Sagan
Hesjedal
Leipheimer
Valls Ferri
Kiserlovski
Albasini
Gallopin
Westra
Kashechkin / Di Gregorio

sound?

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
27th June 2012 - 12:08

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I will announce who is in my purist team after the prologue. Crying Big Grin Big Grin Big Grin

J Andrew Hill

Its a marathon, not a snickers

...

JAndrewHill's picture

posted by JAndrewHill [1225 posts]
27th June 2012 - 20:00

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But there are two saur riders and a europcar cheapie. .? !!!!

J Andrew Hill

Its a marathon, not a snickers

...

JAndrewHill's picture

posted by JAndrewHill [1225 posts]
27th June 2012 - 20:02

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My last, final purist team... maybe...

Wiggins
Sagan
Leipheimer
Rogers
Kiserlovski
Pinot
Westra
Simon
Cantwell

posted by frankiejay [159 posts]
28th June 2012 - 14:35

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Hi, this is my first time of entering a team so going for the purist only race.

My team which will be a lot of guess work is going to be

Bradley Wiggins (SKY)
Robert Gesink (RAB)
Vladimir Gusev (KAT)
Michael Rogers (SKY)
Robert Kiserlovski (AST)
Michael Albasini (GRE)
Sandy Casar (FDJ)
Maxim Iglinsky (AST)
Jonathan Cantwell (SAX)

posted by tigerbear [1 posts]
28th June 2012 - 16:30

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Bradley Wiggins (SKY) GC
Tony Martin (OPQ) AR P
eter Sagan (LIQ) AR
Michael Rogers (SKY) AR

Domestiques
Mikel Astarloza (EUS)
Lieuwe Westra (VCD)
Giovanni Bernaudeau (EUC)
Jonathan Cantwell (SAX)
Matthew Lloyd (LAM)

Some interesting choices. As Cav has more or less said he aint racing for Green at the expense of Olympic glory I decided to risk Sagan who has so far this year been awesome albeit in less classy pelotons. Best to get the ball rolling with a good Prologue and reckon Wiggins, Rogers, Mart and even Westra will do well. Further on Cantwell might be well sprints wise and of course. Fingers crossed as this is the team I'll try and stick to regardless Wink

Sean

posted by seanieh66 [193 posts]
29th June 2012 - 3:49

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Been tinkering all evening but now settled on:

Wiggins
Sammy 'I'll probably settled for the polka dot jersey' Sanchez
Johnny 'the beast' Hoogerland
Levi 'I can't think of anything funny' Leipheimer

Thibaut Pinot
Lieuwe Westra
Julien Simon
Arthur Vichot
Gorka Izagirre

Hoping that Vichot will get into some breaks (although I have a horrible track record of picking breakaway riders) and that Simon and Pinot will have a good race, Izagirre is the best of a bad/cheap bunch and Westra could go either way.

Leipheimer's an odd one, if it all goes to plan I can see him doing well but he could also be decidedly average and be an awful pick. I wanted Sanchez though and would have had to replace him with Gesink or Rolland in order to pick up Chavanel or Hesjedal.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
29th June 2012 - 21:36

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well i decided to go this was i think

Wiggins
Sagan
D Martin (for the mountains that others wont go for)
Rogers

Pinot
Westra
Edet
Erviti
Simon

I thought picking a couple like D martin/Erviti that maybe others wouldnt would make it a bit more interesting

posted by TERatcliffe26 [3901 posts]
30th June 2012 - 11:53

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I've had a go at a purist team - but as you can see below, I haven't taken it too seriously.

Jeremy Roy
Johnny Hoogerland
David Moncoutie
Sylvain Chavanel
Sandy Casar
Michael Albasini
Jens Voigt
Amets Txurruka
Gorka Izagirre

My only hope is that all of my riders manage to get in at least one break during the next three weeks. Big Grin

posted by Wig_Billy [575 posts]
30th June 2012 - 12:41

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I think, if things don't change, i'm going to have to play a purist's purist game with NO transfers, even when purist's are allowed to make changes, If i can get on, then I will. If not then this is my three week team

Bradley Wiggins (SKY)
Fabian Cancellara (RSN)
Luis Leon Sanchez (RAB)
Peter Sagan (LIQ)
Andriy Grivko (AST)
Giovanni Bernaudeau (EUC)
Mikel Astarloza (EUS)
Gorka Izagirre (EUS)
Kris Boeckmans (VCD)

Gkam84's picture

posted by Gkam84 [8825 posts]
30th June 2012 - 13:48

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Having a go at a purist team for the first time and ended up with this:

Bradley Wiggins (SKY)
Cadel Evans (BMC)
Peter Sagan (LIQ)
Michael Rogers (SKY)
Tony Gallopin (RSN)
Julien Simon (SAU)
Fabrice Jeandesboz (SAU)
Gorka Izagirre (EUS)
Mikel Astarloza (EUS)

posted by manxfelipe [57 posts]
30th June 2012 - 14:15

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OK, now that we're underway, I'll put my cards on the table:

Peter Sagan
Ryder Hesjedal
Bradley Wiggins
Tejay van Garderen

Gorka Izagirre
Cedric Pineau
Lieuwe Westra
Jonathan Cantwell
Aleksandr Kuschynski

posted by TheBigMong [218 posts]
30th June 2012 - 15:49

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