Giro Stage 12

by drheaton   May 17, 2012  

Morning all, big day today with the real possibility of a shake up in the fantasy standings.

Guaranteed breakaway with the possibility of a breakaway win, I predict a big group of 12+ going away and most of them staying away to the end with a 3-5 minute lead.

I'm utterly hopeless at picking breakaway guys and my usual pick, De Gendt, is too close in the GC to be allowed to go away so I've gone for extra guaranteed points in the form of Rubiano and Golas. I've also kept Cavendish and Hunter (another possible break rider) for the flat stage tomorrow.

My team:

Rodriguez
Hesjedal
Cavendish
Hunter

Pozzovivo
Caruso
Tiralongo
Rubiano
Golas

So, who're you hoping will get in the break and how do you think today will play out?

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Can't see the break winning by enough for Casar to take pink, I reckon Kataush and Liquigas will pull it back to around 1 and half minutes by the end, just enough to keep it in check.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:10

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I think Katusha would like the break to have around 4.20 when they cross the line, It would take the pink of their shoulders while leaving J-Rod just seconds back from Casar and mean their team doesn't have to do all the work if J-Rod wants to win the GC overall, He needs to lose the pink at some point to help his team to help him out later in the race Wink

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:22

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Golas gets 9 points for the Cat 2 climb, over the top unchallenged and is offSKI on his own Big Grin

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:26

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Maximum KoM points and solo breakaway win?! This could turn out to be an excellent day Big Grin

The only thing that could improve it is Cavedish going after the minor sprint placings!

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:44

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15km, 5.05 to Golas. The rest of the break are around 30 seconds behind

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:46

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I think you have more chance of Cav taking last place for 10 points, He's not going to be in the pack

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:47

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Maybe Golas will not be getting max KoM today, He's just about to be caught 3km from the last summit and he looks like he's struggling

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:49

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Indeed sir! Thanks for the discussion on the thread I posted about the breakaway today. Especially big thanks to Alan for making the suggestion of Golas.

Team:

Cavendish
Inxtausti
Rodriguez
Hesjerdal

Tiralongo
Rubiano
Demare
Caruso
Golas

Rob Cairns

posted by robacairns [18 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:53

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Yup, Golas is cooked, they breeze past him and he's gone out the back now.

Then Casar knocks the pace off and Golas gets back in.

They are all attacking each other over and over. 12.5km to go, gap is 4.30

Just around where Katusha would like it (if i was their director)

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:53

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No last KoM points for Golas, Now to see who can keep their head on the way down. 11.5km to go. 4.13 the gap

The REAL J-Rod might just keep the pink, but i have a feeling he'd let it slip if he could

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:57

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Tiralongo and Cunego jump out the front to get some seconds

Casar might not be in pink at the end of the day after all

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 15:58

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C'mon Santaromita! (at least I'll get 5 points from Frank).

posted by Wig_Billy [575 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:04

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I need J-Rod the 2nd of Androni to win for an extra 10 points Devil

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:09

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Lars Bak finally wins a stage after his efforts in Denmark at the start of the tour

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:10

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Bak
Casar
Amador
Bakelants
Santaromita
Rodriguez
Txurruka
Keizer
Golas
Flecha
Visconti
Hermans
Lagutin
Barta
Pauwels

Thats your stage top 15. I don't think i'll be getting any top 20 points, going to have to rely on GC and other jersey points Crying

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:19

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9th & 19th for me.

posted by Wig_Billy [575 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:19

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Wow another rubbish day, if i break 20 points I will be lucky

posted by TERatcliffe26 [3861 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:19

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GC now looks like this

J-Rod
Hesjedal
Casar
Tiralongo
Santaromita
Kreuziger
Intxausti
Basso

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:20

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Might manage 70 today, 25ish for Golas, 4 for Rubiano and a 30 something GC/Jersey points elsewhere should keep me in the hunt.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:21

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Wig_Billy wrote:
9th & 19th for me.

Who's 16-20??

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posted by Gkam84 [8796 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:21

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I was hoping for GC points but with some of this mornings GC dropping out of the top 10 i'm screwed Crying

'Don't look back. Something might be gaining on you'

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posted by livestrongnick [1762 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:22

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Gkam84 wrote:
Wig_Billy wrote:
9th & 19th for me.

Who's 16-20??

16. VERMOTE Julien
17. BRANDLE Matthias
18. BENEDETTI Cesare
19. HESJEDAL Ryder
20. DE GENDT Thomas

http://www.gazzetta.it/Speciali/Giroditalia/2012/classifiche/it/t_12_cla...

posted by Wig_Billy [575 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:25

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Shame, had Casar in mind (as I'm sure many did) but convinced myself he'd be more likely to try next week once he was further behind overall. And he was just a bit too expensive. Still - Barta comes 14th! And so averages 1 point per day that I've had him in my team. I knew he had it in him!

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posted by chrisdstripes [1583 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:26

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85 points, apparently a very good day as I've gained 14 places and I'm now only 150 points off 1st.

Plan for tomorrow is to bring in some cheap sprinters and hope all the favourites crash again Devil

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
17th May 2012 - 16:48

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drheaton wrote:
85 points, apparently a very good day as I've gained 14 places and I'm now only 150 points off 1st.

Plan for tomorrow is to bring in some cheap sprinters and hope all the favourites crash again Devil


Its OK - I've brought Cav back in and he's crashed on both stages I've had him so far, so you should be OK...

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posted by chrisdstripes [1583 posts]
17th May 2012 - 17:06

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I don't know, third time lucky...

I've already got Cav and Hunter but considering swapping for Intxausti and either Goss or someone like Ventoso so I'm closer to my climbing team for Saturday. Dropping Cav could also free up credits for Cataldo.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
17th May 2012 - 17:10

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Gkam84 wrote:
Anyone know the record amount of breaks, Either in stages or KM in a grand tour?

I know its a strange stat to ask for, but with Kaizer in the break AGAIN. I feel i've seen him there every day bar yesterday. He must be on some sort of break away bonus payment. Because if he's strong enough to be there day in day out. Why not sit back in the pack and get a decent GC standing Thinking

That is a good point but maybe he can't climb.

posted by Alan Tullett [1434 posts]
17th May 2012 - 19:37

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robacairns wrote:
Indeed sir! Thanks for the discussion on the thread I posted about the breakaway today. Especially big thanks to Alan for making the suggestion of Golas.

Team:

Cavendish
Inxtausti
Rodriguez
Hesjerdal

Tiralongo
Rubiano
Demare
Caruso
Golas

Well done Wink Wink Do I get a bonus Wink Wink I got 93 today. I had Rubiano when he made his break as well. It's the sprint stages that have messed me up.

posted by Alan Tullett [1434 posts]
17th May 2012 - 19:40

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chrisdstripes wrote:
drheaton wrote:
85 points, apparently a very good day as I've gained 14 places and I'm now only 150 points off 1st.

Plan for tomorrow is to bring in some cheap sprinters and hope all the favourites crash again Devil


Its OK - I've brought Cav back in and he's crashed on both stages I've had him so far, so you should be OK...

Same for me but I'm not going for him tomorrow as I'm set up for the mountains. Still got Goss though and not sure what to do with him.

posted by Alan Tullett [1434 posts]
17th May 2012 - 19:45

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Currently I've 7 climbers, 2 sprinters (Cav and Hunter), I can't see any benefit in keeping my transfers for the weekend so may spread the risk and pick up two chances of winning seeing as Hunter isn't doing anything.

posted by drheaton [3429 posts]
17th May 2012 - 20:35

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