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Giro Stage 12
Morning all, big day today with the real possibility of a shake up in the fantasy standings.
Guaranteed breakaway with the possibility of a breakaway win, I predict a big group of 12+ going away and most of them staying away to the end with a 3-5 minute lead.
I'm utterly hopeless at picking breakaway guys and my usual pick, De Gendt, is too close in the GC to be allowed to go away so I've gone for extra guaranteed points in the form of Rubiano and Golas. I've also kept Cavendish and Hunter (another possible break rider) for the flat stage tomorrow.
My team:
Rodriguez
Hesjedal
Cavendish
Hunter
Pozzovivo
Caruso
Tiralongo
Rubiano
Golas
So, who're you hoping will get in the break and how do you think today will play out?
If you're new please join in and if you have questions pop them below and the forum regulars will answer as best we can.
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67 comments
Well if you have someone in the break today, you could be getting some decent points, otherwise your screwed
39km 7 minute's gap
If it does stay away, i NEED J-not-Rod to win as he'll get me 10 points having 2 of his team mates
40km to go 6.30 gap
They letting the break win?
40km to go 6.30 gap.
Sandy Casar leader on the road be about 2.30
50km to go 5.30 of a gap
62.5km to go 3.55 gap
Golas takes it anyway with Rod second and the rest rolling across not bothering to fight it out
I seems "not J-Rod" is jumping off the front to try and get the points with Golas going with and the rest are leaving them to fight it out
What's the etiquete on a break like today? Will Golas be allowed to take all the KoM points on the proviso that he won't compete the finish or is it every man for themselves? Obviously I;d expect 'not J-Rod' to compete to help out Rubiano but will the rest leave them to it?
The joys
But i'm not working at the moment anyways. So whether or not I'd been ill, I'd still be here
70km to go, the gap rockets back up to over 3mins
@Gkam: Oh for the life of those on med-rest!
Surely the peloton will just keep them out there, a few minutes in front? I can't see why they'd bring it back together and risk a bigger or strong group going away in the last 60km or so.
The men in the break are still losing time. With 75k to go, the gap is 1:54
We have a correction.
Amets Txurruka (Spa), Euskaltel-Euskadi is in the break. Farnese Vini-Selle Italia's Luca Mazzanti is not.
The gap is declining steadily and is now down to 2:00 with 83k to go.
So coming down 20 seconds per KM
Golas just got the 3 points for 1st KOM
Ok, so your men in the break, with 2.20 of a gap and 84km to the finish are
Sandy Casar (Fra), FDJ-Big Mat
Ivan Santaromita (Ita), BMC Racing
Luca Mazzanti (Ita), Farnese Vini-Selle Italia
Lars Ytting Bak (Den), Lotto Belisol
Andrey Amador Bakkazakova (CRc), Movistar
Michal Golas (Pol), Omega Pharma-Quickstep,
Jan Bakelants (Bel), RadioShack-Nissan
Jackson Rodriguez (Ven), Androni Giocattoli
Martijn Keizer (Ned), Vacansoleil-DCM
They had 2.40 at 85km, So coming down quite quickly, I guess they are going uphill and the chasing pack are on a flatter part though.
I wish this tennis would hurry up and finish and that Cetkovska just gives up. Its over 6-0 5-1 your going to lose. Give it up
Anyone know the record amount of breaks, Either in stages or KM in a grand tour?
I know its a strange stat to ask for, but with Kaizer in the break AGAIN. I feel i've seen him there every day bar yesterday. He must be on some sort of break away bonus payment. Because if he's strong enough to be there day in day out. Why not sit back in the pack and get a decent GC standing
That is a good point but maybe he can't climb.
Yes, J-Rod... Jackson Rodriguez of Androni.
That complicates things for Golas as surely J-not-Rod will be competing for the KoM points to limit Rubiano's losses.
Martijn Kaizer has also made the break and Jackson Rodriguez, So Androni have put someone up there to take points away from Golas
Argh, Bakelandts was one of the guys I considered bringing in today (although tbf, I did consider about half of peleton).
I think Androni are hanging back and working for Rujano to make sure he loses no more time, being 3.05 down already
Interesting that Gus Larrson is still only at 3.03
A few likely suspects in there, Amador was on my list of potentials, Barta is trying to bridge the gap too.
Disappointed that Rubiano didn't make the break but I expect to see him try and make it across at some point today, have Golas though so reasonably happy as he'll surely get top mountain points as Rubiano doesn't even have a team mate in the break.
My team remains unchanged from yesterday so that I have 4 transfers to do some magic with and get my team ready for the real climbs of stage 14
Joaquin Rodriguez (KAT)
Ryder Hesjedal (GRM)
Sergio Luis Henao (SKY)
Jose Humberto Rujano (AND)
Domenico Pozzovivo (COG)
Miguel Angel Rubiano (AND)
Paolo Tiralongo (AST)
Damiano Caruso (LIQ)
Jon Izagirre (EUS)
Lars Bak (Lotto Belisol) Sandy Casar (FDJ-BigMat), Ivan Santaromita (BMC), Jan Bakelants (RadioShack-Nissan), Luca Mazzanti (Farnese Vini), Andrey Amador (Movistar) and Michal Golas (Omega Pharma-Quick Step)
That seems to be your break today
I can't see Saturday being a big shoot out, the top guys will test each other out but not really try and ride away just yet.
One tip for your, if you pick up Frank Schleck make sure you drop him again for Stage 17.
Oh, and William Bonnet has retired.
Well 24km down and no break yet
Rubiano & Golas are my breakaway hopes, if Cesare Bendedetti does I might be upset, I almost had him in, but played conservatively, only a few low cat climbs today.
Joaquin Rodriguez (KAT)
Matthew Goss (GRE)
Ryder Hesjedal (GRM)
Benat Intxausti (MOV)
Damiano Caruso (LIQ)
Arnaud Demare (FDJ)
Miguel Angel Rubiano (AND)
Michal Golas (OPQ)
Domenico Pozzovivo (COG)
3 sprinters tomorrow and Goss is not one of them, full climbing squad for Saturday and Sunday
The fact that we've got two days in the mountains followed by a rest day (with 4 transfers) means I might try and load my team for sprinters tommorow and hope to get a few points. I agree, Saturday will probably be cat and mouse but Sunday should be fun as a few will go all out knowing they get a rest Monday.
Hoping for Rubiano and Golas to go in serch of mountain points but not sure they will. Unpredictable day. Kept in Visconti even though he didn't make it yesterday. Better chance of an attack and good descent getting away today. Basso had better watch out as he seems to be cautious descending. Not going to bother much with the sprint tomorrow, buiding a team for the mountains but the first day might be a bit cagey.
My wildcard for today is Mathias Frank. Also hoping that Rubiano, Golas, & Balloni can find their way into the break.
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