Have London Roads Become More Dangerous

by jason.timothy.jones   December 20, 2013  

Im not to sure that a Lecturer in Infectious Diseases is qualified to comment on Cycling Risk, but have a read, maybe we can have some pleasant commentary, Rolling On The Floor

Oh BTW this has been hiding behind a paywall so it hasn't really been torn apart by the non academics that have an interest in the subject.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/store/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013.00715.x/as...

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Still can't access it:

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You don't have permission to access /store/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013.00715.x/asset/sign715.pdf on this server.

However I get a lot of crash data across my desk and compared with 10-20 years ago, London's streets have far fewer deaths and serious injuries from road traffic crashes, whether for motorists, cyclists or pedestrians. Peak road fatality rates in the UK were in the late 1970s and early 1980s and the levels are now about the same as they were in 1950.

This may be of interest also:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-25444916

OldRidgeback

posted by OldRidgeback [2132 posts]
20th December 2013 - 15:50

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looks like its back behind the paywall

posted by jason.timothy.jones [290 posts]
20th December 2013 - 18:56

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this link should work http://ow.ly/rWZqu

posted by jason.timothy.jones [290 posts]
20th December 2013 - 18:58

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The article should never have been behind the paywall - it's open access and was only published on Wednesday. And David Spiegelhalter is Prof of understanding risk so should know what he is talking about!

Seems to make sense to me as the maths showing how exceptional 6 deaths in a fortnight are. More depressing is the calculation of 52 periods where there 3 deaths in a fortnight over 8 years.

posted by jstreetley [60 posts]
21st December 2013 - 13:33

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Yep, seems to make sense to me. Basically, the premise is summed up in the last paragraph. The health benefits way outweigh the risks, which aren't nearly as great as many assume, but it could be safer than it is.

OldRidgeback

posted by OldRidgeback [2132 posts]
22nd December 2013 - 11:37

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